Health and climate impacts of future United States land freight modelled with global-to-urban models

Liu, Liang Y.; Hwang, Taesung; Lee, Sungwon; Ouyang, Yanfeng; Lee, Bumsoo; Smith, Steve; Tessum, Christopher W.; Marshall, Julian; Yan, Fuwu; Daenzer, Kathryn; Bond, Tami C.

doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0224-3

Cited by 57 publications

(47 citation statements)

References 46 publications

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“…In the US, the work of Brown, around 100 metropolitan areas shows that higher population density and more compact models show lower emissions of polluting gases [189]. Similarly, studies by Liu et al on commercial transport vehicle traffic and the emission of its pollutants for the US, conclude that a more compact city model would allow a reduction of at least 3% in the emission of air pollutants and 36% in deaths [190]. Moreover, building models have an impact on greenhouse gas emissions.…”

Section: Materials Consumption and Environmental Pollutionmentioning

confidence: 95%

Sustaining What Is Unsustainable: A Review of Urban Sprawl and Urban Socio-Environmental Policies in North America and Western Europe

Bueno-Suárez

Coq-Huelva

2020

Sustainability

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Urban sprawl and its economic, social, and environmental consequences are central issues for approaching more sustainable forms of life and production. This review provides a broad theoretical exploration of the main features of urban sprawl but also of sustainable urban policies in Western Europe and North America. Urban sprawl can be observed in both continents, as the search for higher standards of economic, social, and environmental sustainability is also an essential feature of urban governance in the last years. Urban sprawl has been slightly weaker in Western Europe, as its are cities generally more compact. Moreover, in Western Europe, urban sprawl has sometimes been confronted with ex-ante preventive policies. However, in North America, urban sprawl from the 1950s has been an essential element of the social ordering and, thus, of the American way of life. In both cases, urban sprawl has generated successive rounds of accumulation of built capital, which is currently managed in sustainable ways essentially through ex-post and palliative measures, that is, trying to “sustain what is unsustainable”. In other words, the idea is to make urban sprawl more sustainable but without altering its main morphological elements.

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Section: Materials Consumption and Environmental Pollutionmentioning

confidence: 95%

Sustaining What Is Unsustainable: A Review of Urban Sprawl and Urban Socio-Environmental Policies in North America and Western Europe

Bueno-Suárez

Coq-Huelva

2020

Sustainability

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“…As a comparison, studies of the passenger transport sector show great uncertainties in the effects of digitalization on energy consumption, from -30% to +20% [41]. To fully understand the effects of digitalization on freight transport, there is a need for a holistic, system level approach [9,10,42]. In this paper we develop future scenarios, where the aim is to investigate how different trends might interplay and unfold.…”

Section: Scenario Planning For Digitized Road Freight Transportationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Muratori et al [44] explores emission development scenarios. Winkler and Mocanu [45] investigates 3 future scenarios for road transport in Germany to investigate policies for improve sustainability of the road transport sector, and Liu et al [9] studies the impacts of road transport on emissions, climate, and health in the US. However, these previous studies have not focused on the effects of digitalization and of how digitalization is implemented.…”

Section: Scenario Planning For Digitized Road Freight Transportationmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Will Digitalization Change the Road Freight Transportation? - Future Scenarios with Sweden as a Case Study

Pernestål¹,

Engholm²,

Bemler³

et al. 2020

Preprint

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Road freight transportation is a key function of modern societies. At the same time, road freight transportation accounts for significant emissions. To reach the UN sustainability goals, sustainable road freight transportation is key. Digitalization, including automation, digitized information, and AI provide opportunities to improve efficiency, reduce costs, and increase service levels in road freight transportation. Digitalization may also radically change the business ecosystem in the sector. In this paper, the question “How will digitalization change the road freight transportation landscape?” is addressed by developing four different future scenarios, using Sweden as a case study. For each of the four scenarios the impacts on the road freight transportation sector are investigated, and opportunities and barriers to reach a sustainable transportation system in each of the scenarios are discussed. In all scenarios an increase in vehicle kilometers travelled is predicted, and in three of the four scenarios significant increases of recycling and urban freight flows are predicted. The scenario development process highlighted how there are important uncertainties in the development of the society that will be highly important for the development of the digitized freight transportation landscape. One example is the sustainability paradigm, which was identified as a strategic uncertainty.

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“…Sustainability scholars fully embrace complexity, from the framing of their research questions to the methods and approaches used in their analysis of the problems. In this issue, Tamy Bond and colleagues 5 provide an example of how to design a model of complex interactions to gain a deeper understanding of the environmental and human dimensions of on-road freight transport. They develop a system-of-systems model connecting the economy, technology and infrastructure to simulate air polluting emissions, human health and climate change impacts of the US freight truck and railway system over 2010-2050.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

On-road freight complexities

2019

Nat Sustain

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Health and climate impacts of future United States land freight modelled with global-to-urban models

Cited by 57 publications

References 46 publications

Sustaining What Is Unsustainable: A Review of Urban Sprawl and Urban Socio-Environmental Policies in North America and Western Europe

Sustaining What Is Unsustainable: A Review of Urban Sprawl and Urban Socio-Environmental Policies in North America and Western Europe

Will Digitalization Change the Road Freight Transportation? - Future Scenarios with Sweden as a Case Study

On-road freight complexities

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