Have women born outside the UK driven the rise in UK births since 2001?

Tromans, Nicola; Jefferies, Julie; Natamba, Eva

doi:10.1057/pt.2009.17

Cited by 56 publications

(48 citation statements)

References 3 publications

(3 reference statements)

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“…Furthermore, in 2011, the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) of the foreign-born population as a whole was higher (2.29) than that of the UK-born population (1.90), meaning that their increasing shares of childbearing contributed to increases in UK fertility levels. This has been highlighted by Tromans et al (2009) who showed that foreign-born women were responsible for 39%, 88% and 100% of the increases in fertility, between 2001-2007, seen at ages 20-24, 25-29 and 30-34 years, respectively. In this study, we provide new insights into the fertility patterns of the Polish migrant group in the UK. This is important because, the size of the Polish population had reached 579,000 in 2011, up from 95,000 in 2004 and, since 2010 Poland has featured as the most common country of birth for foreignborn mothers having live births in the UK (Office for National Statistics, 2012aStatistics, , 2012bStatistics, , 2004a.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

New insights into the fertility patterns of recent Polish migrants in the United Kingdom

2014

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There have been important changes in the United Kingdom's (UK) fertility and immigration in the past decade, with a large share contributed by migrants from Poland. A detailed understanding of Polish migrant fertility is lacking, however, because the relevant data are not routinely collected. This paper provides new insights into the fertility patterns of Polish migrants in the UK, and compares these patterns with those of other large immigrant groups, the UK-born population and with patterns in Poland. We use the UK Labour Force Survey with the Own Child(ren) Method, illustrating the potential of survey data for estimating immigrant fertility in settings where other data are unavailable. We first compare the fertility patterns of recent Polish migrants with those of other key recent immigrant groups and the UK-born population; estimating: 1) Age-Specific Fertility Rates (ASFRs), and Total Fertility Rates (TFRs), by country of birth for the 2004-2012 period, 2) The proportions in each immigrant group that arrive without children, and, 3) Of those childless at arrival the proportions of women who go on to have births within a short period of arrival. Next, we compare the ASFRs and TFR for Polish migrant women with those observed in Poland. Our results show that the fertility of Polish migrants is amongst the lowest for all population subgroups in the UK, and that Polish migrants are less likely to have children soon after arrival than other immigrant groups. The findings are consistent with migration not being so closely linked to family formation for Polish migrants as it is for immigrants in the comparison groups. We also find that the fertility patterns of Polish migrants are different to those observed in Poland with a later childbearing profile and a slightly higher TFR.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

New insights into the fertility patterns of recent Polish migrants in the United Kingdom

2014

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“…Suggested explanations include an end to the move to later childbearing, economic growth, pronatalist and other family policies, and higher immigrant fertility. Recent research on the role of migrant childbearing in the UK shows that, while the overall proportion of births to foreign born women has increased significantly, the rise in the overall UK TFR is mainly due to increases in the fertility of UK-born women 4 .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Stability and change in fertility intentions in Britain, 1991–2007

2010

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The very low fertility experienced in several European countries in recent decades in the presence of higher intended family sizes has renewed interest in fertility intentions data. While the overall level of childbearing in Britain over the past few decades has remained relatively stable and high in comparison with many other European countries, we have seen sizeable increases in the age at which childbearing starts. This study uses data from the 1991 to 2007 General Household Surveys to examine trends in family intentions data in an attempt to arrive at a better understanding of these recent fertility developments. First, time trends in intended family size are compared with trends in observed fertility. Next, aggregate changes in intentions regarding the level and timing of fertility across the life course for cohorts are investigated together with the extent to which these aggregate intentions are matched by the subsequent childbearing of cohorts. Finally, both change across the life course and uncertainty in family intentions are examined. We conclude by discussing what these findings might tell us about contemporary reproductive decision making.

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“…There has been some work on this topic (Tromans et al 2009) but the contribution of recent immigrants to fertility rates is not fully clear. In terms of change over time in age-specific rates, we might also consider the pace of assimilation of recent immigrants and of the first and second generations of residents in this country who were born overseas.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%