2014
DOI: 10.1177/1065912913517303
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Group Size versus Change? Assessing Americans’ Perception of Local Immigration

Abstract: Leading opinion research on immigration has begun to move from size-based to change-based measures of citizens’ ethnic context. This shift is based on the theoretical assumption that over-time growth in immigrant populations is more likely to capture citizens’ attention than their current size. At present, there is no empirical evidence supporting this assumption. This article demonstrates that while the size of local immigrant populations exerts virtually no effect on perceived immigration, over-time growth s… Show more

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Cited by 73 publications
(66 citation statements)
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References 38 publications
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“…Instead, where immigration proceeds rapidly and where immigrants may threaten the status quo with a perceived challenge to the economic and cultural well-being of natives, perceptions of immigration threat are likely to surface (Newman and Velez 2014). As a result, negative views of immigrants and immigration are likely to emerge.…”
Section: Immigrant Stock and Influxesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Instead, where immigration proceeds rapidly and where immigrants may threaten the status quo with a perceived challenge to the economic and cultural well-being of natives, perceptions of immigration threat are likely to surface (Newman and Velez 2014). As a result, negative views of immigrants and immigration are likely to emerge.…”
Section: Immigrant Stock and Influxesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Other research has focused attention on the rapid change to the ethnic composition of the receiving society when it comes to explaining the occurrence of prejudice. The “salience of change hypothesis” (Newman & Velez, ), based on Hopkins' “defended neighbourhood hypothesis” (, ), views drastic changes in the ethno‐racial composition as being responsible for receiving society's attitudes of rejection. The sudden changes in the ethnic composition stimulate the perception of sociocultural competition in a community, especially when the receiving society's economic level is lower (Semyonov et al, ).…”
Section: A Contextual Approach To Anti‐immigrant Prejudicementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Citizens may not actually know the size or numbers of immigrants, or may incorrectly estimate their numbers, which calls into question the underlying mechanism of competition. Hopkins, Tran, and Williamson (), for example, show that natives cannot correctly estimate the number of immigrants in a geographical area, whereas other research finds that substantial or drastic changes in the size of immigrant groups over time does indeed correctly capture local attention (Newman & Velez, ). Importantly, even when local communities cannot correctly estimate actual demographic shifts, mistakes seem to be biased in such a way as to emphasize rather than de‐emphasize group threats from immigration.…”
Section: Theoretical Frameworkmentioning
confidence: 99%