2016
DOI: 10.5194/esd-7-183-2016
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Groundwater nitrate concentration evolution under climate change and agricultural adaptation scenarios: Prince Edward Island, Canada

Abstract: Abstract. Nitrate (N-NO3) concentration in groundwater, the sole source of potable water in Prince Edward Island (PEI, Canada), currently exceeds the 10 mg L−1 (N-NO3) health threshold for drinking water in 6 % of domestic wells. Increasing climatic and socio-economic pressures on PEI agriculture may further deteriorate groundwater quality. This study assesses how groundwater nitrate concentration could evolve due to the forecasted climate change and its related potential changes in agricultural practices. For… Show more

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Cited by 49 publications
(22 citation statements)
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“…The increase in NO 3 − concentrations has become the major problem affecting the quality of groundwater resources in many regions during recent decades [64]. Therefore, new strategies are needed to improve and to protect long-term groundwater resources [65]. Several options exist for solving this problem and ensuring the supply of high quality of drinking water.…”
Section: Perspectives For Adjusted Fertilisation Of Srcmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The increase in NO 3 − concentrations has become the major problem affecting the quality of groundwater resources in many regions during recent decades [64]. Therefore, new strategies are needed to improve and to protect long-term groundwater resources [65]. Several options exist for solving this problem and ensuring the supply of high quality of drinking water.…”
Section: Perspectives For Adjusted Fertilisation Of Srcmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…One of the most important impacts of climate change and variability on water resources is the reduction of groundwater recharge rate and aquifers' water table depletion [17,32,33]. This fact affects groundwater quality, leading to the increase of nitrates concentration [17,31,61]. In our research, for the long-term period of SREA2 scenario without reservoir operation, groundwater recharge was reduced to 4.4 hm 3 per year and hydraulic head drawdown reached 45 m resulting to about 18 mg/L increase of nitrates concentration.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The estimation of the nitrate leaching amount is carried out by various methods. Nitrate concentration in groundwater is determined mainly by hydrogeological parameters, the mass nitrogen loading, and the water infiltration from the ground surface to subsurface system [17]. The typical form of a groundwater nitrate leaching function is a timeseries of spatially loading application rates varying by cultivated area, the crop pattern, the specific fraction of the on-ground nitrogen loading, which is leaching in the nitrate form, and finally the amount of water, which infiltrates to groundwater system.…”
Section: Nitrate Transport and Dispersion Model Descriptionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition to field-based studies, numerical models are useful tools to provide insights into water flow and nutrient transport dynamics from agricultural fields to hydrological receptors [21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28]. Numerical models for subsurface water modeling have further been categorized as vadose zone and saturated zone models.…”
Section: Of 25mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Most of the previous studies conducted to examine the impacts of climate change on groundwater in Canada were focused on water quantity rather than quality [18,27,[35][36][37][38][39][40][41][42][43][44]. Very little research has been done on a subwatershed scale to develop fully integrated models with different crop rotations to simulate both water flow and agricultural nitrate transport in groundwater considering future climate change [27,37,[45][46][47]. The primary objective of this study is examine the impacts of climate change (for the 2040-2059 period) and land use changes (focused on three crop rotation scenarios) on Nitrate-N concentrations in groundwater using integrated numerical modeling tools.…”
Section: Of 25mentioning
confidence: 99%