2019
DOI: 10.3390/w11030504
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Gridded Flash Flood Risk Index Coupling Statistical Approaches and TOPLATS Land Surface Model for Mountainous Areas

Abstract: This study presents the development of a statistical flash flood risk index model, which is currently operating in research mode for flash flood risk forecasting in ungauged mountainous areas. The grid-based statistical flash flood risk index, with temporal and spatial resolutions of 1 h and 1 km, respectively, has been developed to simulate the flash flood risk index leading to flash flood casualties using hourly rainfall, surface flow, and soil water content in the previous 6 h. The statistical index model e… Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…The uncertainty estimation for these methods should account for both the rainfall data aggregation step [31] and the uncertainties of the own input data used [32]. Recent efforts applied to enhance the representativeness of the uncertainty associated to FFG values include the consideration of the spatial rainfall features defined through statistical analysis [33] and the adoption of Bayesian probabilistic approaches to consider the fact that the same amount of accumulated rainfall may or may not trigger floods [34].…”
Section: Rainfall Comparison With Surface Conditions Considered (Rc-sc)mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The uncertainty estimation for these methods should account for both the rainfall data aggregation step [31] and the uncertainties of the own input data used [32]. Recent efforts applied to enhance the representativeness of the uncertainty associated to FFG values include the consideration of the spatial rainfall features defined through statistical analysis [33] and the adoption of Bayesian probabilistic approaches to consider the fact that the same amount of accumulated rainfall may or may not trigger floods [34].…”
Section: Rainfall Comparison With Surface Conditions Considered (Rc-sc)mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Due to the destructive effects of flash floods on the environment and their social consequences, many studies so far have attempted flood risk modeling and zoning [17][18][19], because identifying areas vulnerable to flooding will be one of the most effective measures to reduce flood damage and flood management [20]. However, risk modeling and flood sensitivity mapping across large areas still remain challenging, because flash floods occur largely in each region under different climate conditions, which are unpredictable [21].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Jumlah dan distribusi curah hujan merupakan hal yang sangat sulit untuk diprediksi, karena terdapat unsur ketidakpastian serta kompleksnya permasalahan suatu DAS menjadi pemicu utama terjadinya banjir bandang (Lee & Kim, 2019). Banjir bandang sering terjadi secara tiba-tiba dan sangat cepat dalam waktu yang singkat, menyapu semua yang dilaluinya dan menimbulkan kerugian baik materi maupun kerugian yang lainnya (Doswell, 2015).…”
Section: Pendahuluanunclassified