Graphical features of flow behavior and the stock and flow failure

González, Cleotilde; Qi, Liang; Sriwattanakomen, Nalyn; Chrabaszcz, Jeffrey S.

doi:10.1002/sdr.1570

Cited by 12 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…In past studies on SF failure, the use of the correlation heuristic has always been the main part of errors (Cronin et al ., 2008; Brunstein et al ., ; Gonzalez and Wong, ; Baghaei Lakeh and Ghaffarzadegan, ; Fischer and Gonzalez, ; Qi and Gonzalez, ; Gonzalez et al ., ), and the proportion of it in all errors has been hardly affected by factors. The logistic regression models, which are used to estimate the probability of participants' following a correlation heuristic when they cannot answer Q3 and Q4 correctly using mathematical score as one of the predictors, have been reported only by Qi and Gonzalez (), yet no such effect has been found.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 98%

Math matters: mathematical knowledge plays an essential role in Chinese undergraduates' stock‐and‐flow task performance

González

2019

System Dynamics Review

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People's understanding of accumulation (stock) and of rates of change (flows) is essential to successful decision making in dynamic environments. However, past research suggests that highly educated Western people are often unable to infer the behavior of stock-flow systems. In an empirical study involving a population of university students in China, we tested whether mathematical knowledge, global-local processing and domain experience affect participants' performance in stock-flow tasks. We find that Chinese undergraduates had good performance in general, and individuals with more mathematical knowledge performed better on stock-flow tasks. We discuss the possible reasons that explain these participants' success. Future research needs to extend our work to more diverse populations across different cultures, nations and education systems. Comparative studies on the content of math education under a cross-cultural frame are desirable to uncover more essential factors for people's understanding of stock-flow structures.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 98%

Math matters: mathematical knowledge plays an essential role in Chinese undergraduates' stock‐and‐flow task performance

González

2019

System Dynamics Review

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“…Furthermore, the complexity of this crisis requires consideration of the unintended consequences of any policy actions. However, in complex systems, even experts fail to fully understand the unintended consequences of their decisions, particularly over the long-term [ 2 – 6 ]; consequently, proposed solutions may introduce new problems or fail to produce lasting results. This issue is often attributable to observing and analysing a fragment of the system (only seeing the top of the iceberg) or to a lack of understanding of the interconnections among system components.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The opioid crisis: need for systems science research

Jalali

Botticelli

Hwang³

et al. 2020

Health Res Policy Sys

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The opioid epidemic in the United States has had a devastating impact on millions of people as well as on their families and communities. The increased prevalence of opioid misuse, use disorder and overdose in recent years has highlighted the need for improved public health approaches for reducing the tremendous harms of this illness. In this paper, we explain and call for the need for more systems science approaches, which can uncover the complexities of the opioid crisis, and help evaluate, analyse and forecast the effectiveness of ongoing and new policy interventions. Similar to how a stream of systems science research helped policy development in infectious diseases and obesity, more systems science research is needed in opioids.

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“…For example, individuals improve performance in SF tasks through formal system dynamics training (Sterman, 2010) and priming analytical thinking (Lakeh and Ghaffarzadegan, 2015). In addition, scholars have also explored the impact of task format on the performance of SF tasks (Hämäläinen et al, 2013;Gonzalez et al, 2017). For example, Gonzalez et al (2017) found that there is no evidence of a relationship between graphical representations and SF performance.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In addition, scholars have also explored the impact of task format on the performance of SF tasks (Hämäläinen et al, 2013;Gonzalez et al, 2017). For example, Gonzalez et al (2017) found that there is no evidence of a relationship between graphical representations and SF performance. Yet, few studies have investigated the impact of personal traits on SF performance except for basic demographic information.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Decision-making in a dynamic task: effects of goal orientation on stocks and flows performance

Yang¹,

Huang

Xiao

et al. 2020

CMS

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Purpose This paper aims to investigate the effects of goal orientation on understanding the dynamics of stocks and flows (SF). Design/methodology/approach The authors use the well-established department store task as the experimental task to evaluate people’s understanding of SF and implement a survey to assess different goal orientation levels. Ordinary least square is used to test the effects of goal orientations on the SF performance. Findings The findings suggest that learning goal orientation is positively associated with SF performance. However, prove and avoid performance goal orientation are unrelated to SF performance. Originality/value The study has important theoretical and practical contributions. From a theoretical perspective, the authors examine the impact of goal orientation in dynamic decision-making to advance the knowledge on the role of goal orientation. Practically, the research demonstrates that learning-goal-oriented people perform better in stock and flow tasks, suggesting that goal orientation is an important trait for recruiting organizational members whose work involves SF decision-making tasks.

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Graphical features of flow behavior and the stock and flow failure

Cited by 12 publications

References 17 publications

Math matters: mathematical knowledge plays an essential role in Chinese undergraduates' stock‐and‐flow task performance

Math matters: mathematical knowledge plays an essential role in Chinese undergraduates' stock‐and‐flow task performance

The opioid crisis: need for systems science research

Decision-making in a dynamic task: effects of goal orientation on stocks and flows performance

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