Global Warming and the Arab Spring

Johnstone, S T; Mazo, Jeffrey

doi:10.1080/00396338.2011.571006

Cited by 180 publications

(62 citation statements)

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“…By spring 2011, food prices worldwide were averaging 20% above 2008 levels. Higher food prices were likely a proximate trigger of the uprisings that began in Tunisia in December 2010 and convulsed nearly 10 countries in the Middle East and North Africa through the winter and spring of 2011 (Johnstone andMazo 2011, Werrell andFemla 2013).…”

Section: Illustration 2: the 2008 Food-energy Crisismentioning

confidence: 99%

Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis

Homer‐Dixon¹,

Walker²,

Biggs³

et al. 2015

E&S

181

113

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ABSTRACT. Recent global crises reveal an emerging pattern of causation that could increasingly characterize the birth and progress of future global crises. A conceptual framework identifies this pattern's deep causes, intermediate processes, and ultimate outcomes. The framework shows how multiple stresses can interact within a single social-ecological system to cause a shift in that system's behavior, how simultaneous shifts of this kind in several largely discrete social-ecological systems can interact to cause a far larger intersystemic crisis, and how such a larger crisis can then rapidly propagate across multiple system boundaries to the global scale. Case studies of the 2008-2009 financial-energy and food-energy crises illustrate the framework. Suggestions are offered for future research to explore further the framework's propositions.

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Section: Illustration 2: the 2008 Food-energy Crisismentioning

confidence: 99%

Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis

Homer‐Dixon¹,

Walker²,

Biggs³

et al. 2015

E&S

181

113

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“…Some commentators have suggested that climate change is best regarded as a threat multiplier that may exacerbate existing natural resource constraints (Johnstone and Mazo, 2011). Hence, climate information is seen as a fundamental tool by development agencies for benchmarking resource scarcity, for evaluating "hot spots" of climate risk, and for appraising adaptation options.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Rainfall and temperature estimation for a data sparse region

Wilby

2013

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

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Abstract. Humanitarian and development agencies face difficult decisions about where and how to prioritise climate risk reduction measures. These tasks are especially challenging in regions with few meteorological stations, complex topography and extreme weather events. In this study, we blend surface meteorological observations, remotely sensed (TRMM and NDVI) data, physiographic indices, and regression techniques to produce gridded maps of annual mean precipitation and temperature, as well as parameters for site-specific, daily weather generation in Yemen. Maps of annual means were cross-validated and tested against independent observations. These replicated known features such as peak rainfall totals in the highlands and western escarpment, as well as maximum temperatures along the coastal plains and interior. The weather generator reproduced daily and annual diagnostics when run with parameters from observed meteorological series for a test site at Taiz. However, when run with interpolated parameters, the frequency of wet days, mean wet-day amount, annual totals and variability were underestimated. Stratification of sites for model calibration improved representation of the growing season's rainfall totals. Future work should focus on a wider range of model inputs to better discriminate controls exerted by different landscape units.

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“…In their paper "Global Warming and the Arab Spring" Sarah Johnstone and Jeffrey Mazo claim that there is good reason to link the Arab uprisings to foodprice inflation. 46 The Arab Spring gained sign i f i c a n t momentum in 2011. This same year, food prices surged in response to poor weather around the globe in 2010.…”

Section: Drought and Agriculture In Syriamentioning

confidence: 99%

The Third World War: A Look at the Implications of Climate Change on Global, National Security

Schlusser¹

2017

ppr

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President Donald Trump ran to be president of the United States on a platform rife with statements denouncing the credibility of anthropogenic — man-made — climate change. In a separate, but equally important, vein, President Trump also expressed a commitment to ensure the security of US citizens both domestically and abroad. Today, however, it’s difficult to address national security effectively without simultaneously addressing global climate change. The two issues are intimately interwoven, and ignoring one issue will compromise the success of solving the other.

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Global Warming and the Arab Spring

Cited by 180 publications

References 0 publications

Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis

Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis

Rainfall and temperature estimation for a data sparse region

The Third World War: A Look at the Implications of Climate Change on Global, National Security

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