Global trends in internal migration

Bell, Martin; Charles‐Edwards, Elin; Bernard, Aude; Ueffing, Philipp

doi:10.4324/9781315589282-4

Cited by 51 publications

(56 citation statements)

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“…At first glance this may seem counterintuitive, since internal migration is quantitatively much more prevalent than its international counterpart (Elmhirst, 2017) and paradigm shifts have led to growing recognition of the qualitative significance of relatively frequent and even mundane mobilities at finer spatial scales than between states (Adey, 2010). However the study of population movements within countries has long been hampered by significant data challenges (Bell et al, 2018). As such residential mobility and internal migration are widely acknowledged as predominant drivers of population composition and change at the local and regional scales, but also recognised as the hardest to measure and predict (Stillwell et al, 2011).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mobile no more? The innovative use of administrative data linked to a census‐based longitudinal study to investigate migration within Scotland

McCollum

Ernsten‐Birns

Feng

et al. 2020

Population Space and Place

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This paper builds upon existing scholarship on changing patterns and processes of internal migration, especially the surprising and potentially disconcerting recently documented trend towards falling internal migration intensities since the late 20th Century in many developed countries. The analysis utilises new research opportunities presented by the recent linking of administrative health data into the census-based Scottish Longitudinal Study (SLS). We find a modest recent decrease in aggregate rates of address changing within Scotland. This decline is partly driven by the population subgroups that have been conventionally most mobile, especially over longer distances, becoming less migratory. This supports the notion of an evening out of some of the main socioeconomic determinants of migration and validates calls for a greater emphasis on the drivers and consequences of population immobility within migration studies.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mobile no more? The innovative use of administrative data linked to a census‐based longitudinal study to investigate migration within Scotland

McCollum

Ernsten‐Birns

Feng

et al. 2020

Population Space and Place

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show abstract

“…It could also be applied to other regions of the world collecting comparable migration data and to single countries with sufficiently long time-series to explore migration trends. In some countries of North America and Europe, recent evidence points to declining migration intensities [61, 62], reduced migration impact [63] and delayed migration age patterns [50] suggesting the emergence of particular migration trajectories, but it remains unclear how these changes are being shaped by wider societal transformations. Economic, technological, political and social forces are doubtless at play, but may manifest differently from those identified in the particular context of Latin America.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Comparing internal migration across the countries of Latin America: A multidimensional approach

et al. 2017

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While considerable progress has been made in understanding the way particular aspects of internal migration, such as its intensity, age profile and spatial impact, vary between countries around the world, little attention to date has been given to establishing how these dimensions of migration interact in different national settings. We use recently developed measures of internal migration that are scale-independent to compare the overall intensity, age composition, spatial impact, and distance profile of internal migration in 19 Latin American countries. Comparisons reveal substantial cross-national variation but cluster analysis suggests the different dimensions of migration evolve systematically to form a broad sequence characterised by low intensities, young ages at migration, unbalanced flows and high friction of distance at lower levels of development, trending to high intensities, an older age profile of migration, more closely balanced flows and lower friction of distance at later stages of development. However, the transition is not linear and local contingencies, such as international migration and political control, often distort the migration-development nexus, leading to unique migration patterns in individual national contexts.

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“…Falling levels of internal migration are not confined to the United States, nor are they restricted to one particular region of the world. Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Germany, Japan, the Russian Federation, and South Korea have all experienced a decline in aggregate levels of internal migration over recent decades (Bell et al 2018a). At the same time, this downward trend is by no means universal, and some countries have recorded stable or rising levels of internal migration, particularly in Europe (Bell et al 2018a;Kulu, Lundholm, and Malmberg 2018;Shuttleworth, Osth, and Nedomysl 2018;Bernard and Kolk 2019).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Germany, Japan, the Russian Federation, and South Korea have all experienced a decline in aggregate levels of internal migration over recent decades (Bell et al 2018a). At the same time, this downward trend is by no means universal, and some countries have recorded stable or rising levels of internal migration, particularly in Europe (Bell et al 2018a;Kulu, Lundholm, and Malmberg 2018;Shuttleworth, Osth, and Nedomysl 2018;Bernard and Kolk 2019). While aggregate trends in migration levels have been widely documented (Champion, Cooke, and Shuttleworth 2018), research on age-specific migration trends has attracted until recently comparatively less scholarly attention, with a few notable exceptions (Rogers and Rajbhandary 1997;Plane and Rogerson 1991).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Distinguishing tempo and ageing effects in migration

Bernard¹,

Pelikh²

2019

DemRes

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BACKGROUND Despite emerging evidence of a delay of migration to older ages, few studies have considered its impact on overall migration levels. OBJECTIVE This paper argues that there are two possible implications of delayed migration on overall migration levels: (1) a tempo effect leading to a temporary underestimation of the level of migration in the observed period data and (2) a migration ageing effect leading to a reduction of higher-order moves because the exposure to migration is shifted to older ages when the probability of moving is lower. METHODS Combining hypothetical scenarios with empirical evidence from a range of countries in Europe, North America, Australia, and China, the paper demonstrates the relevance of tempo and ageing effects to migration analysis and proposes a framework for conceptualising these processes. RESULTS Our analysis suggests that both tempo and ageing effects are likely to occur if the general trend is towards later ages at migration. We show, however, that all-move data such as those collected in censuses is not suitable to analyse tempo effects because changes in migration behaviour are order specific. Drawing on retrospective survey data, we show that in 25 of 26 European countries considered in this paper, individuals who are late in leaving the parental home are less likely to progress to the second move and, as a result, report a lower number of migrations in adulthood than early movers.

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Global trends in internal migration

Cited by 51 publications

References 1 publication

Mobile no more? The innovative use of administrative data linked to a census‐based longitudinal study to investigate migration within Scotland

Mobile no more? The innovative use of administrative data linked to a census‐based longitudinal study to investigate migration within Scotland

Comparing internal migration across the countries of Latin America: A multidimensional approach

Distinguishing tempo and ageing effects in migration

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