Global Risk Maps of Climate Change Impacts on the Distribution of Acinetobacter baumannii Using GIS

Abstract

Impacts of climate change rank among the century’s most significant ecological and medical concerns. As a result of climatic changes, the distribution of some bacterial species will alter across time and space. Numerous bacterial infections will reorganize as a result worldwide. Acinetobacter baumannii Bouvet and Grimont is one of the most significant and frequently occurring bacteria identified in soil and air. The COVID-19 pandemic has changed how bacteriologists perceive this species as a new threat to human health. In order to estimate the existing and future worldwide distribution of A. baumannii under various climate change scenarios, about 1000 A. baumannii occurrence records were employed. Given its superior accuracy and dependability versus alternative modeling techniques, maximum entropy implemented in MaxEnt was selected as the modeling tool. The bioclimatic variable that contributes the most to the distribution of A. baumannii is the mean temperature of the coldest quarter (bio_11). The created current distribution model agreed with the species’ actual globally dispersed distribution. It is projected that A. baumannii will experience a severe range expansion due to the increase in temperature brought on by global warming in different regions of its range. According to the risk maps created for 2050 and 2070 using two alternative RCPs, there are various regions that will be under risk of this bacterium as a result of rising temperature. Future data science and GIS evaluation of the current results are necessary, especially on a local level.

Locusta migratoria (L.) (Orthoptera) in a warming world: unravelling the ecological consequences of climate change using GIS

“…The integration of GIS and MaxEnt modeling techniques provides valuable tools for predicting species distributions and assessing the potential impacts of climate change ( Sabour 2023 ). By comparing current distribution models with future climate scenarios, researchers can evaluate how changes in temperature, precipitation patterns and other climatic variables may affect the abundance and range of L. migratoria .…”

Climate Change and the Dung Beetle: Evaluation of Global Warming Impact on the Distribution of Phyllognathus excavatus (Forster, 1771) through the Mediterranean Region

“…The model performance was estimated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics (ROCs), and its value ranged from (0) random discrimination to (1) perfect discrimination higher. AUC values more than (0.75) indicated strong fitting of the models, whereas AUC values less than (0.5) indicated poor fitting of the models for the ecology of the species under consideration [23,24].…”

Sustainable Countermeasures for Skin Health Improvement for Green Consumers: The Utilization of Hsian-Tsao during Global Warming

“…It contains many polyphenols, so it is also involved in antioxidant functions, and it is considered an important plant for skin health amid global warming. Accordingly, it has been evaluated to have high potential as an inner beauty and cosmetic material [33][34][35][36]51,52,[92][93][94][95][96][97][98][99][100].…”