Global Potential Distribution of the South American Cutworm Pest Agrotis robusta (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae)

Blas, Germán San; Obholz, Gisella; Dias, Fernando Maia Silva; Specht, Alexandre; Casagrande, Mirna Martins; Mielke, Olaf Hermann Hendrik

doi:10.1007/s13744-021-00930-x

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 24 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…MaxEnt, a generalized machine learning method [30,31], is the most commonly used to predict PSH for invasive species. For example, MaxEnt models have been used to study the PSH of invasive alien species Parapediasia teterrella (Zincken) in East Asia [32] and Agrotis robusta (Blanchard) worldwide [33]. Compared with other SDMs, it has the advantages of shorter running time, smaller sample size required, and higher accuracy.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change Facilitates the Potentially Suitable Habitats of the Invasive Crop Insect Ectomyelois ceratoniae (Zeller)

Liu,

Yang,

et al. 2024

Atmosphere

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Invasive alien insects directly or indirectly driven by climate change threaten crop production and increase economic costs worldwide. Ectomyelois ceratoniae (Zeller) is a highly reproductive invasive crop insect that can severely damage fruit commodities and cause significant economic losses globally. Estimating the global potentially suitable habitats (PSH) of E. ceratoniae is an important aspect of its invasive risk assessment and early warning. Here, we constructed an optimized MaxEnt model based on the global distribution records of E. ceratoniae, and nine environmental variables (EVs), to predict its global PSH under current and future climates. Our results showed that the RM value was 2.0 and the mean area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) value was 0.972, indicating the high accuracy of the optimal MaxEnt model. The mean temperature of driest quarter (bio9, 50.2%), mean temperature of wettest quarter (bio8, 16.9%), temperature seasonality (bio4, 9.7%), and precipitation of coldest quarter (bio19, 9.1%) were the significant EVs affecting its distribution patterns. The global PSH of E. ceratoniae are mainly located in western Asia under current climate scenarios (687.57 × 104 km2), which showed an increasing trend under future climate scenarios. The PSH of E. ceratoniae achieved the maximum under the shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) 1–2.6 in the 2030s and under the SSP2-4.5 in the 2050s. The increased PSH of E. ceratoniae are mainly located in southwestern Asia, northwestern Europe, northwestern South America, northwestern North America, southern Oceania, and northwestern Africa. Our findings suggest that quarantine officials and governmental departments in the above high-risk invasion areas should strengthen monitoring and early warning to control E. ceratoniae; in particular, cultural measures should be taken in areas where its further expansion is expected in the future.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change Facilitates the Potentially Suitable Habitats of the Invasive Crop Insect Ectomyelois ceratoniae (Zeller)

Liu,

Yang,

et al. 2024

Atmosphere

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In recent years, pest invasion events have become frequent, and invasive crop pests (ICPs) have been reducing crop yields and causing enormous economic losses by feeding on crops, sucking plant sap, and spreading pathogens to crops, increasingly threatening global food security and agricultural development [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 ]. Globally, ICPs cause economic losses of up to USD 70 billion annually, resulting in yield losses of more than 40% [ 6 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimating the Global Geographical Distribution Patterns of the Invasive Crop Pest Diuraphis noxia Kurdjumov under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios

Jing

Hong-yan

et al. 2023

Insects

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Invasive crop pests (ICPs) are a major cause of crop losses and adversely affect global food security. Diuraphis noxia Kurdjumov is a significant ICP that feeds on the sap of crops, reducing crop yield and quality. Although estimating the geographical distribution patterns of D. noxia under climate change is critical for its management and global food security, such information remains unclear. Based on 533 global occurrence records and 9 bioclimatic variables, an optimized MaxEnt model was used to predict the potential global geographical distribution of D. noxia. The results showed that Bio1, Bio2, Bio7, and Bio12 were significant bioclimatic variables that influenced the potential geographical distribution of D. noxia. Under current climatic conditions, D. noxia was mainly distributed in west-central Asia, most of Europe, central North America, southern South America, southern and northern Africa, and southern Oceania. Under the SSP 1-2.6, SSP 2-4.5, and SSP 5-8.5 scenarios for the 2030s and 2050s, the potential suitable areas increased, and the centroid migrated to higher latitudes. The early warning of D. noxia in northwestern Asia, western Europe, and North America should be attended to further. Our results provide a theoretical basis for early monitoring and warning of D. noxia worldwide.

show abstract

Global Potential Distribution of the South American Cutworm Pest Agrotis robusta (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae)

Cited by 2 publications

References 24 publications

Climate Change Facilitates the Potentially Suitable Habitats of the Invasive Crop Insect Ectomyelois ceratoniae (Zeller)

Climate Change Facilitates the Potentially Suitable Habitats of the Invasive Crop Insect Ectomyelois ceratoniae (Zeller)

Estimating the Global Geographical Distribution Patterns of the Invasive Crop Pest Diuraphis noxia Kurdjumov under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About