2022
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2105655119
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Global patterns in the predator satiation effect of masting: A meta-analysis

Abstract: Significance Masting, or synchronous production of large seed crops, is widespread among plants. The predator satiation hypothesis states that masting evolved to overwhelm seed predators with an excess of food. Yet, this popular explanation faced few rigorous tests. We conducted a meta-analysis of studies that related the magnitude of seed production to the intensity of seed predation. Our results validate certain theoretical notions (e.g., that predator satiation is more effective at higher latitude… Show more

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Cited by 53 publications
(51 citation statements)
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“…Improved seed set through economies of scale following mast years is widely reported (Kelly et al, 2001; Rapp et al, 2013; Zwolak et al, 2022). These prior tests of economies of scale in masting were mostly conducted at the seed stage, indicating that masting can result in higher seed set, reduced pre‐ and post‐dispersal seed predation or changed seed removal rates by dispersers (Kelly et al, 2001; Sun et al, 2007; Vander Wall, 2010).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Improved seed set through economies of scale following mast years is widely reported (Kelly et al, 2001; Rapp et al, 2013; Zwolak et al, 2022). These prior tests of economies of scale in masting were mostly conducted at the seed stage, indicating that masting can result in higher seed set, reduced pre‐ and post‐dispersal seed predation or changed seed removal rates by dispersers (Kelly et al, 2001; Sun et al, 2007; Vander Wall, 2010).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Among the hypotheses to explain the ecological advantages of masting, the predator satiation hypothesis (Janzen, 1971; Silvertown, 1980; Kelly and Sullivan, 1997; Shibata et al, 1998; Bogdziewicz et al, 2020c; Zwolak et al, 2022) and the pollination efficiency hypothesis (Nilsson and Wästljung, 1987; Norton and Kelly 1988; Smith et al, 1990; Shibata et al, 1998; Kelly et al, 2001) have the most empirical support. The first hypothesis predicts a selective advantage of less predation damage to reproductive tissues by mast flowering and/or fruiting (Janzen, 1971), whereas the last hypothesis predicts higher pollination success by mast flowering (Kelly et al, 2001).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Importantly, our temporal analysis, which contrasts with their space-for-time substitution, further revealed a strong lag effect (Fig. 3A), illustrating the crucial effect of the sequence of predator starvation followed by satiation, an effect that we also found in P. abies (3B; Zwolak et al 2022).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 55%