Global outlook for wood and forests with the bioenergy demand implied by scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Raunikar, Ronald; Buongiorno, Joseph; Turner, James A.; Zhu, Shushuai

doi:10.1016/j.forpol.2009.09.013

Cited by 107 publications

(76 citation statements)

References 11 publications

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“…Some are region-specific (Ince et al 2011;Moiseyev et al 2011;Daigneault et al 2012;Lauri, et al 2012). Others use a static approach (Raunikar et al 2010;Buongiorno et al 2011). A few provide a global and dynamic analysis but they lack a detailed description of the forestry sector (Gillingham et al 2008;Popp et al 2011).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Only a few studies have evaluated the global implications of woody biomass on the forest sector (Raunikar et al 2010;Buongiorno et al, 2011). A limitation of these studies as well as the regional studies is that they examine arbitrary quantities of woody biomass for energy.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A limitation of these studies as well as the regional studies is that they examine arbitrary quantities of woody biomass for energy. 1 The quantities are 1 Raunikar et al (2010) used the biomass energy projections developed for IPCC for the story lines A2 and B1 story lines. Buongiorno et al (2011) used the biomass energy projections developed for IPCC for the story line A1B and RPA forest assessment.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Evaluating the Global Role of Woody Biomass as a Mitigation Strategy

Mendelsohn

2013

SSRN Journal

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As policy makers consider stringent targets for greenhouse gas emissions, integrated assessment models are increasingly relying on biomass energy as a critical energy source. However, it is not clear how much woody biomass to expect across time and across the planet. The integrated assessment models simply do not have enough detail about global forests and arable land to make careful forecasts of biomass supply over time. Integrating the complex dynamic demand for bioenergy from the IAMs with the complex dynamic structure of forests and forest supply is a daunting intertemporal task. This study examines the market for woody biomass by combining the integrated assessment model WITCH with the global dynamic forestry model GTM. Three carbon tax schedules are used to simulate different mitigation policies that lead to radiative forcing levels of 3.7, 3.2 and 2.5 W/m 2 and a baseline scenario with no mitigation policies. WITCH determines the demand for woody biomass and GTM determines the supply of woody biomass over time. Moving from a mild to stringent mitigation policy would increase the demand of woody biomass from 8.2 to 15.2 billion m 3 /yr while the international price of wood would increase 4 to 9 times relative to the baseline scenario by 2100. This would shrink the demand for industrial wood products from 80% to 90% with the biomass program. Forest area will expand by 70-95% leading to increased storage of 685-1,279 GtCO 2 in forest by 2100. Overall, the biomass program with the CCS technology plays a key contribution to overall GHG emission reductions in all scenarios contributing 20-27% of all mitigation for 2020-2100.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Evaluating the Global Role of Woody Biomass as a Mitigation Strategy

Mendelsohn

2013

SSRN Journal

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“…The demand for wood-based biomass is predicted to increase globally [1][2][3][4]. However, many other uses of forests should be considered.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Markov Chain Model for Simulating Wood Supply from Any-Aged Forest Management Based on National Forest Inventory (NFI) Data

Packalen

2017

Forests

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Markov chain models have been applied for a long time to simulate forest dynamics based on transitions in matrices of tree diameter classes or areas of forest size and structure types. To date, area-based matrix models have been applied assuming either even-aged or uneven-aged forest management. However, both management systems may be applied simultaneously due to land-use constraints or the rationality of combining the systems, which is called any-aged management. We integrated two different Markov chain models, one for even-aged and another for uneven-aged forest management, in an area-based approach to analyze wood supply from any-aged forest management. We evaluate the impacts of parameterizing the model based on available data sets, namely permanent and temporary Finnish National Forest Inventory (NFI) sample plots and a plot-level simulator to determine transitions due to different types of thinning treatments, and present recommendations for the related methodological choices. Our overall observation is that the combined modelling chain simulated the development of both the even-and uneven-aged forest structures realistically. Due to the flexibility of the implementation, the approach is very well suited for situations where scenario assumptions need to be varied according to expected changes in silvicultural practices or land-use constraints, for example.

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“…The demands for wood fiber and biofuels are expected to increase significantly in the near future (Raunikar et al 2010). An important means to satisfy these demands is to increase biomass production in existing forests (e.g.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Can Repeated Fertilizer Applications to Young Norway Spruce Enhance Avian Diversity in Intensively Managed Forests?

Edenius

Mikusiński

Bergh

2011

AMBIO

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Repeated fertilization of forests to increase biomass production is an environmentally controversial proposal, the effects of which we assessed on breeding birds in stands of young Norway spruce (Picea abies), in an intensively managed forest area in southern Sweden. Our results show that fertilized stands had 38% more species and 21% more individuals than unfertilized stands. Compared with stands under traditional management, the further intensification of forestry by repeated applications of fertilizers thus seemed to enhance species richness and abundance of forest birds. We cannot conclude at this stage whether the response in the bird community was caused by changes in food resources or increased structural complexity in the forest canopy due to the skid roads used for the application of the fertilizers. Future studies should focus on structural and compositional effects of fertilization processes during the entire rotation period and at assessing its effects in a landscape context.

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Global outlook for wood and forests with the bioenergy demand implied by scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Cited by 107 publications

References 11 publications

Evaluating the Global Role of Woody Biomass as a Mitigation Strategy

Evaluating the Global Role of Woody Biomass as a Mitigation Strategy

A Markov Chain Model for Simulating Wood Supply from Any-Aged Forest Management Based on National Forest Inventory (NFI) Data

Can Repeated Fertilizer Applications to Young Norway Spruce Enhance Avian Diversity in Intensively Managed Forests?

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