Global niche and range shifts of Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis, a highly virulent amphibian-killing fungus

Nie, Peixiao; Feng, Jianmeng

doi:10.1016/j.funbio.2022.10.004

Cited by 4 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 60 publications

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“…Additionally, small shifts in niche position could result in substantial shift in the range of the fall webforms in Europe and in North America (niche similarity index: 0.83 vs. range similarity index: 0.31). These observations may imply that small niche shifts trigger large range shifts, which is supported by recent findings [45,48,56]. Therefore, although from a climate suitability perspective, both the climatic niche shifts and potential range shifts of invasive species can be used to assess the…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 60%

Niche and Range Shifts of the Fall Webworm (Hyphantria cunea Dury) in Europe Imply Its Huge Invasion Potential in the Future

Nie

Yang

Cao

et al. 2023

Insects

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The fall webworm (Hyphantria cunea Dury) has a strong impact on agricultural systems in Europe. However, its invasive potential, which was inherited from its native niche in North America, remains unknown. Here, we investigated the climatic niche and range shifts of the fall webworm in Europe and compared them with those in native North America, then assessed the worms’ invasive potential in Europe. Compared with the fall webworm in Europe, those in North America survived in more diverse climatic conditions, which was closely associated with their broader niche and larger potential ranges in Europe. If the fall webworm in Europe could exploit the native niche inherited from those in North America to adapt to climatic conditions in Europe, their potential ranges in Europe could be 5.5-fold those based on the niche as introduced in Europe. The potentially unfilled ranges of the fall webworm in Europe were mainly detected in vast regions of Europe, excluding Norway, Sweden, Finland, North Russia, Hungary, Croatia, Romania, and Ukraine, suggesting that, without strict control, these vast regions might be preferably invaded by the fall webworm in Europe in the future. Therefore, strict control against its invasion is needed. Given that small niche shifts in this invasive insect could result in large range shifts, the niche shifts represent a more sensitive indicator of invasion risk than range shifts.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 60%

Niche and Range Shifts of the Fall Webworm (Hyphantria cunea Dury) in Europe Imply Its Huge Invasion Potential in the Future

Nie

Yang

Cao

et al. 2023

Insects

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“…In the present study, however, we found that the climatic niche breadth of GSs in North America was 1.38 times the breadth of those in Europe, and the climatic potential range of GSs in North America was 2.45 times that of the climatic potential range of GSs in Europe. This suggests that small climatic niche shifts may induce considerable range shifts, which is supported by several recent studies 76,81,82 . Although both the climatic potential range shifts and niche shifts of invasive species can be used to evaluate their invasion risk from a climate suitability perspective, niche shifts may be more sensitive than range shifts, and invasive species showing greater niche shifts may warrant more attention in biological conservation and invasion biology.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 64%

“…This suggests that small climatic niche shifts may induce considerable range shifts, which is supported by several recent studies. 76,81,82 Although both the climatic potential range shifts and niche shifts of invasive species can be used to evaluate their invasion risk from a climate suitability perspective, niche shifts may be more sensitive than range shifts, and invasive species showing greater niche shifts may warrant more attention in biological conservation and invasion biology.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climatic niche and range shifts of grey squirrels (Sciurus carolinensis Gmelin) in Europe: An invasive pest displacing native squirrels

Yang

Nie

et al. 2023

Pest Management Science

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BACKGROUNDAs an invasive pest from North America, grey squirrels (GSs; Sciurus carolinensis Gmelin) are displacing native squirrels in Europe. However, the climatic niche and range dynamics of GSs in Europe remain largely unknown. Through niche and range dynamic models, we investigated climatic niche and range shifts between introduced GSs in Europe and native GSs in North America.RESULTSGSs in North America can survive in more variable climatic conditions and have much wider climatic niche breadth than do GSs in Europe. Based on climate, the potential range of GSs in Europe included primarily Britain, Ireland, and Italy, whereas the potential range of GSs in North America included vast regions of western and southern Europe. If GSs in Europe could occupy the same climatic niche space and potential range as GSs in North America, they would occupy an area ca. 2.45 times the size of their current range. The unfilling ranges of GSs in Europe relative to those of GSs in North America were primarily in France, Italy, Spain, Croatia, and Portugal.CONCLUSIONOur observations implied that GSs in Europe have significant invasion potential, and that range projections based on their occurrence records in Europe may underestimate their invasion risk. Given that small niche shifts between GSs in Europe and in North America could lead to large range shifts, niche shifts could be a sensitive indicator in invasion risk assessment. The identified unfilling ranges of the GS in Europe should be prioritized in combating GS invasions in the future. © 2023 Society of Chemical Industry.

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“…We used five-times cross-validation to evaluate the performance of the SDMs; 70% of the occurrences were used to build SDMs, and the remaining 30% were used to evaluate SDM performance [53]. We only retained SDMs with true skill statistics (TSS) >0.6 or area under the ROC curve (AUC) >0.8, as suggested by Nie et al (2023) [5].…”

Section: Assessment Of Model Performancementioning

confidence: 99%

Future Range Shifts Suggest That the Six-Spined Spruce Bark Beetle Might Pose a Greater Threat to Norway Spruce in Europe than the Eight-Spined Spruce Bark Beetle

Cao,

Feng

2023

Forests

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Both the eight-spined spruce bark beetle (eight-spined beetle, Ips typographus) and the six-spined spruce bark beetle (six-spined beetle, Pityogenes chalcographus) have major deleterious effects on Norway spruce (i.e., Picea abies, the host tree) in Europe. However, future potential range shifts of the two pests and their range overlap with Norway spruce have not yet been characterized. Through range dynamic models, we characterized their future range expansions, as well as their range overlap with their host tree under current–future change scenarios in 2100. Host availability was the greatest contributor to the range shifts of the two pests, and climatic changes were the main drivers of the range expansion of the host. The potential range, expanded range, and overlapped range were larger for the six-spined beetle than for the eight-spined beetle. The host tree, i.e., Norway spruce, might face increasing threats from the two pests in the future. Future climate change will likely indirectly facilitate range shifts of pests by promoting increases in the area capable of sustaining the host tree. The six-spined beetle might pose a greater threat to Norway spruce than the eight-spined beetle, albeit the latter has previously been considered to have more deleterious effects on Norway spruce.

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Global niche and range shifts of Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis, a highly virulent amphibian-killing fungus

Cited by 4 publications

References 60 publications

Niche and Range Shifts of the Fall Webworm (Hyphantria cunea Dury) in Europe Imply Its Huge Invasion Potential in the Future

Niche and Range Shifts of the Fall Webworm (Hyphantria cunea Dury) in Europe Imply Its Huge Invasion Potential in the Future

Climatic niche and range shifts of grey squirrels (Sciurus carolinensis Gmelin) in Europe: An invasive pest displacing native squirrels

Future Range Shifts Suggest That the Six-Spined Spruce Bark Beetle Might Pose a Greater Threat to Norway Spruce in Europe than the Eight-Spined Spruce Bark Beetle

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