Background
Our objective was to estimate associations between gestational weight gain z-scores and preterm birth, neonatal intensive care unit admission, large- and small-for-gestational age birth (LGA, SGA), and cesarean delivery among grade 1, 2, and 3 obese women.
Methods
Singleton infants born in Pennsylvania (2003–2011) to grade 1 (body mass index (BMI) 30–34.9 kg/m2, n=148,335), grade 2 (35–39.9 kg/m2, n=72,032), or grade 3 (≥40 kg/m2, n=47,494) obese mothers were included. Total pregnancy weight gain (kg) was converted to gestational age-standardized z-scores. Multivariable Poisson regression models stratified by obesity grade were used to estimate associations between z-scores and outcomes. A probabilistic bias analysis, informed by an internal validation study, evaluated the impact of BMI and weight gain misclassification.
Results
Risks of adverse outcomes did not substantially vary within the range of z-scores equivalent to 40-week weight gains of −4.3 to 9 kg for grade 1 obese, −8.2 to 5.6 kg for grade 2 obese, and −12 to −2.3 kg for grade 3 obese women. As gestational weight gain increased beyond these z-score ranges, there were slight declines in risk of SGA but rapid rises in cesarean delivery and LGA. Risks of preterm birth and neonatal intensive care unit admission were weakly associated with weight gain. The bias analysis supported the validity of the conventional analysis.
Conclusions
Gestational weight gain below national recommendations for obese mothers (5–9 kg) may not adversely affect fetal growth, gestational age at delivery, or mode of delivery.