German regional elections: Patterns of second-order voting

Müller, Jochen

doi:10.1080/13597566.2017.1417853

Cited by 14 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 60 publications

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“…Regional elections are widely regarded as events that are subordinate to, and determined by, statewide elections. In elections where there is less at stake, PRRPs are generally expected to fare better (González-Sirois and Bélanger 2019;Massetti 2018;Müller 2018;Reif, Schmitt, and Norris 1997;Reif and Schmitt 1980). Yet, as our study shows, this is not always the case.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 56%

Electoral support for FPÖ in regional and national arenas: Different levels of government, same causality?

Jansesberger

Lefkofridi

Mühlböck

2021

Regional & Federal Studies

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Which factors contribute to the electoral success of Populist Radical Right Parties (PRRPs)? We empirically investigate the relationship between the Austrian Freedom Party/FP (Freiheitliche Partei Österreich/FPÖ)'s electoral shares and the degree of population's socioeconomic polarization based on data for six regional and national elections and 118 municipalities in the state of Salzburg. Regional elections offer an excellent setting for conducting a thorough test of the argument that relative deprivation provides fertile ground for PRRPs. Our longitudinal study provides clear evidence that the more polarized the socio-economic structure in Salzburg's municipalities, the higher the share of FP supporters. This relationship holds over time and across types of elections: regional elections ('Landtagswahlen') and national elections ('Nationalratswahlen').

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 56%

Electoral support for FPÖ in regional and national arenas: Different levels of government, same causality?

Jansesberger

Lefkofridi

Mühlböck

2021

Regional & Federal Studies

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“…The variable concurrent first-order elections (FOE) (level 2) is coded 1 when a referendum takes place the same day as an election to the federal parliament (Bundestag). In line with the literature, we consider only German federal elections as FOEs (Marsh 1998; Müller 2018; Reif and Schmitt 1980) since turnout and the mobilization potential are highest in these elections (Steinbrecher 2020). 8 Our data contains five referendums held simultaneously with FOEs.…”

Section: Research Design Data and Operationalizationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Reducing Social Stratification Bias in Referendum Participation: Evidence from the German Local Level

Velimsky,

Vetter,

Bächtiger

2024

Political Research Quarterly

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Political participation is socially distorted: Socio-economic resources affecting the probability of individuals becoming politically active question the principle of political equality. Such inequality in participation based on social stratification is well documented for elections, while research on inequality in referendum participation is still scarce. Based on the observation that such inequality varies between referendums, this paper explores referendum-specific contextual factors that may affect socially distorted referendum participation. We leverage information from an original dataset covering 1788 districts in 35 German municipalities for 68 local referendums held between 2000 and 2019. The results of our multilevel models indicate that concurrent first-order elections boost referendum turnout and decrease social stratification, while the closeness of the decision increases turnout but does not affect stratification bias. Moreover, we find a curvilinear relationship between turnout and stratification, with stratification only diminishing from participation levels above 40–50%.

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“…There are other forms of party competition besides fragmentation. For one thing, the closeness of the previous electoral race might have implications for future elections, yet, as research into elections at the German state level shows (Müller 2018;Schniewind 2008, 199-267), there is considerable voter volatility between state elections. Moreover, the usual period between elections is five years, making it rather difficult to anticipate the closeness of the upcoming electoral race.…”

Section: Party Financing In Federal Environmentsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Financing party branches: Evidence from the German federal system

Jacob

2021

Regional & Federal Studies

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Adequately financed branches contribute to the integration of regional interests into statewide parties. Yet, we have limited knowledge about the determinants of branches' varying income levels in federal contexts. To address this shortage, this article elucidates why branches receive donations from citizens and businesses to different degrees. I hypothesise that party competition at the state level, the difference in regional economic performance and parties' historical legacies can account for the level of branches' donation revenue. Analysing German statewide party branches' income from 2009 to 2017, this study finds support for the facilitating impact of state and federal electoral contests on donation levels. Regional economic disparities, by contrast, only marginally affect donation revenues. At the same time, parties' path-dependent developments help explain asymmetries in average revenue levels between western and eastern branches. The study's findings suggest that intense regional party competition contributes to branches' financial independence within the statewide party organisation.

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German regional elections: Patterns of second-order voting

Cited by 14 publications

References 60 publications

Electoral support for FPÖ in regional and national arenas: Different levels of government, same causality?

Electoral support for FPÖ in regional and national arenas: Different levels of government, same causality?

Reducing Social Stratification Bias in Referendum Participation: Evidence from the German Local Level

Financing party branches: Evidence from the German federal system

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