Geographical simulation analysis for logistics enhancement in Asia

Kumagai, Shinya; Hayakawa, Kazunobu; Isono, Ikumo; Keola, Souknilanh; Tsubota, Kazuo

doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2013.03.021

Cited by 21 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…Other simulation-based studies have also found an uneven distribution of economic benefits along transport corridors, such as the Dhaka-Kolkata corridor in Bangladesh [14], and the Delhi Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC) in India [67].…”

Section: Location and Spatial Effectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Transport Corridors for Wider Socio–Economic Development

Quium

2019

Sustainability

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There can be two broad objectives of transport corridor development: to improve efficiency in the transport and logistics processes in the corridor, and to generate economic development in the corridor region, capitalizing on improved connectivity and transport networks. This paper focuses on the second objective of corridor development. A transport corridor can become a tool for spatially balanced and more sustainable economic development and human well-being in the corridor region. Considering the promise of this approach, this paper undertakes a critical review of transport infrastructure development studies undertaken in Sub-Saharan and South Asian countries to find evidence of infrastructure development impacts. Evidence gathered from the review suggests that transport infrastructure development can have significant positive impacts on economic growth, income, poverty, employment, equity, and inclusion. However, there can be important trade-offs between economy and welfare and environmental quality, and the distribution of impacts can be uneven. The paper also considers how some of the transport corridor development issues are addressed and complementary interventions that may be required, and, finally, discusses lessons learned from the review and their policy implications which can be useful for future corridor designs, and provides suggestions of research studies to fill the current knowledge gaps.

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Section: Location and Spatial Effectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Transport Corridors for Wider Socio–Economic Development

Quium

2019

Sustainability

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“…IDE/ERIA‐GSM explicitly incorporates land size in its production size and keeps its technology as constant returns to scale. Details of the IDE/ERIA‐GSM are provided in Kumagai et al ().…”

Section: Geographic Simulation Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In light of these developments, this paper examines the importance of transportation infrastructure developments by comparing the economic impacts of MPAC and CADP for ASEAN using the Geographical Simulation Model (Institute of Developing Economies/ERIA‐GSM), which has been developed by the IDE‐JETRO and ERIA since 2007. IDE/ERIA‐GSM is a tool to help policymakers comprehend the importance of infrastructure provision and its potential consequences (Kumagai et al, ). The model can predict the type of physical or institutional integration that favorably or adversely affects a particular region(s) at the subnational level.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economic Impacts of Improved Connectivity for ASEAN: An Application of the Geographical Simulation Model

Isono¹,

Kumagai²

2016

Asian Economic Policy Review

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We compare the prioritized projects of the Master Plan on ASEAN Connectivity (MPAC) and the Comprehensive Asia Development Plan (CADP) by utilizing the Institute of Developing Economies/Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia Geographical Simulation Model. The prioritized projects of the MPAC mainly focus on specific hard or soft infrastructure projects connecting one remote area of an ASEAN member state to another and thus fail to capture the full potential of the infrastructure because of neglected important links within a state. On the other hand, the CADP emphasizes the importance of economic corridors or linkages between a large cluster and another cluster. Our simulation analysis shows that CADP projects will result in an addition to gross domestic product (GDP) of $US 1544bn over the period from 2021 to 2030 (in 2010 dollars) or an impact on ASEAN countries that is 12 times larger than MPAC projects. The results strongly suggest that the CADP projects should be adopted and implemented to fully realize the potential economic growth of the ASEAN countries. Moreover, the CADP will contribute more to narrowing the development gaps among the ASEAN countries than MPAC prioritized projects.

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“…Source: Kumagai et al (2011) GSM includes the average speed of each transport mode based on survey results of ERIA's innovation and agglomeration projects (Limskul 2009 andIntarakumnerd 2010) and the ASEAN Logistics Network Map by JETRO (JETRO 2008 and). The basic speed of land transport is set at 38.5 km/h.…”

Section: Figure 2: Basic Structure Of the Simulation Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Agglomeration and Dispersion in China and Asean: A Geographical Simulation Analysis

Isono¹,

Kumagai²,

Kimura³

2012

China Econ. Policy Rev.

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Spatial designing of economic development with enhancing connectivity has become essential to pursue both sustained growth and the narrowing of development gaps. The issue of agglomeration and dispersion in China and its neighboring countries is an example of requiring such an approach. This paper introduces the Geographical Simulation Model (GSM) based on the new economic geography setting and presents illustrative simulations on Asian Highway No. 3 and Kyaukpyu deep sea port development in order to analyze the economic implication of developing hard and soft infrastructure as well as lowering national border barriers for inclusive growth at the sub-national level.

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Geographical simulation analysis for logistics enhancement in Asia

Cited by 21 publications

References 12 publications

Transport Corridors for Wider Socio–Economic Development

Transport Corridors for Wider Socio–Economic Development

Economic Impacts of Improved Connectivity for ASEAN: An Application of the Geographical Simulation Model

Agglomeration and Dispersion in China and Asean: A Geographical Simulation Analysis

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