Generals in defense of allocation: Coups and military budgets in Thailand

Kawaura, Akihiko

doi:10.1016/j.asieco.2018.07.004

Cited by 4 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…This finding is interesting, as it contrasts with the conclusions drawn by previous studies, including those by Kawaura (2018), Kim et al (2013), Leon (2014), Bove and Nisticò (2014), and Suwanprasert (2023), which suggest an increase in military expenditure following a military coup.…”

Section: The Effects Of Thailand's 2014 Coupcontrasting

confidence: 95%

“…I G U R E 3 Labor market.However, it is important to highlight that the associated p-values indicate that none of these gaps are statistically different from zero.This finding is interesting, as it contrasts with the conclusions drawn by previous studies, including those byKawaura (2018),Kim et al (2013), Leon…”

contrasting

confidence: 99%

“…A number of previous studies find evidence that military expenditure tends to increase following a coup. Kawaura (2018) finds that military expenditure increased by approximately 23% in the year following each of the nine coups that occurred in Thailand between 1949 and 2014. Similarly, Suwanprasert (2023) concludes that military expenditure increased by 38% in the first year after the coup in Thailand in 2006 and by around 60% in the following 5 years.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The economic aftermath of Thailand's 2014 military coup: Evidence from the synthetic control method

Suwanprasert

2024

Asian Economic Journal

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This paper study the effects of Thailand's 2014 military coup on Thailand's economy using the control method to create synthetic Thailand, which represents hypothetical Thailand had the 2014 coup not occurred. The empirical findings reveal no statistically significant effects on key economic variables such as gross domestic product, unemployment, military expenditure, and income inequality. Contrary to previous research, military expenditures did not increase following the coup. Supporters of the coup may interpret these results as evidence that the coup had no negative effects on the economy. At the same time, critics may argue that the coup did not lead to improved economic outcomes compared with the politically unstable precoup period, thus perpetuating a state of national stagnation.

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Section: The Effects Of Thailand's 2014 Coupcontrasting

confidence: 95%

contrasting

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The economic aftermath of Thailand's 2014 military coup: Evidence from the synthetic control method

Suwanprasert

2024

Asian Economic Journal

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“…The interests to a large degree involve economic and social benefits the military holds in a country, typically and officially stemming from military spending. Based on this premise, some scholars argue that military spending is in correlation to a coup (Bove and Nisticò 2014;Collier & Hoeffler 2007;Kawaura 2018;Leon 2013). The lower the military expenditure, the more chances of a military coup.…”

Section: Military Coupmentioning

confidence: 99%

When Coups Occur: Erosion of Democracy in Thailand and Myanmar.

Seo

2023

OaS (DaS)

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It is generally accepted that attempts at coup d'état have decreased since the end of the Cold War. But this does not mean that coup attempts will not occur in the future. With the recent two military coups in Thailand and Myanmar, all the continental states in Southeast Asia have entered authoritarian rules. This article explores when coups possibly occurred in the cases of Thailand in 2014 and Myanmar in 2021 that experienced overthrowing the civilian governments and the rise of the military in power. The Early Warning Signals (EWS) recently endorsed to investigation of the likelihood of military coups and qualitative analysis of collected data on factors affecting such incidents were combined to better explain the situations. From this approach, this article found that Group Grievance and Security Apparatus indicators in the Fragile States Index are important factors leading to the occurrence of military coups in the two countries. Also, from the qualitative analysis, a political culture relying on on iconic political leaders in the two countries has been a negative influence that deludes democratization and challenges civilian rule.

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Consequences of Thailand’s 2006 military coup: Evidence from the synthetic control method

Suwanprasert

2023

European Journal of Political Economy

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Generals in defense of allocation: Coups and military budgets in Thailand

Cited by 4 publications

References 9 publications

The economic aftermath of Thailand's 2014 military coup: Evidence from the synthetic control method

The economic aftermath of Thailand's 2014 military coup: Evidence from the synthetic control method

When Coups Occur: Erosion of Democracy in Thailand and Myanmar.

Consequences of Thailand’s 2006 military coup: Evidence from the synthetic control method

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