Generalized Beta Models and Population Growth: So Many Routes to Chaos

Abstract

Logistic and Gompertz growth equations are the usual choice to model sustainable growth and immoderate growth causing depletion of resources, respectively. Observing that the logistic distribution is geo-max-stable and the Gompertz function is proportional to the Gumbel max-stable distribution, we investigate other models proportional to either geo-max-stable distributions (log-logistic and backward log-logistic) or to other max-stable distributions (Fréchet or max-Weibull). We show that the former arise when in the hyper-logistic Blumberg equation, connected to the Beta (p,q) function, we use fractional exponents p−1=1∓1/α and q−1=1±1/α, and the latter when in the hyper-Gompertz-Turner equation, the exponents of the logarithmic factor are real and eventually fractional. The use of a BetaBoop function establishes interesting connections to Probability Theory, Riemann–Liouville’s fractional integrals, higher-order monotonicity and convexity and generalized unimodality, and the logistic map paradigm inspires the investigation of the dynamics of the hyper-logistic and hyper-Gompertz maps.

The PORTSEA (Portuguese School of Extremes and Applications) and a few personal scientific achievements

“…I first refer an article, partially out of the scope of my PhD thesis, on the use of fractional calculus in probability theory and in EVT (see [251]), with developments in [25], where Boop functions and BetaBoop RVs were initially introduced. Their relevance in the investigation of forms of extreme growth has been carried out in [26,29,31]. In this topic, I still mention [308], on the behaviour of upper randomly stopped OSs.…”

“…In this topic, I still mention [308], on the behaviour of upper randomly stopped OSs. See also, [24], a review paper on the above-mentioned topics.…”