“…In presence of Ph->E transmission, the correlations between ζ E*1t and ζ E*2t are due to shared environmental influences in addition to the correlated environment originating in the Ph->E transmission [19]. Dolan et al established that, given four time points, the parameters α t and γ t are identified subject to equality constraints (e.g., α 2 = α 3 and γ 2 = γ 3 ) [20]. Here, we impose the over-identifying constraint α t = α t-1 and γ t = γ t-1 , t = 2, 3, 4, and therefore drop the time subscript (i.e., the parameters are denoted α and γ).…”