Gas Prices Variations and Urban Sprawl: An Empirical Analysis of the 12 Largest Canadian Metropolitan Areas

Tanguay, Georges A.; Gingras, Ian

doi:10.2139/ssrn.1919003

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“…Using more recent data, Cortright (2008) shows that in five metropolitan areas, house prices fell more from 2006:Q4 to 2007:Q4 in postal codes with longer average commuting distances. Although there is no direct evidence on the effect of gasoline prices on the location of housing, Tanguay and Gingras (2011) show that the center city population share is higher in Canadian metropolitan areas with higher retail gasoline prices, and McGibany (2004) finds that the average size of urbanized areas in 1990 was smaller in states with higher gasoline taxes.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 94%

The Effect of Gasoline Prices on Household Location

Molloy

Shan

2013

The Review of Economics and Statistics

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By raising commuting costs, an increase in gasoline prices should reduce the demand for housing in areas far from employment centers relative to locations closer to jobs. Using annual panel data on a large number of postal codes and municipalities from 1981 to 2008, we find that a 10% increase in gas prices leads to a 10% decrease in construction in locations with a long average commute relative to other locations but to no significant change in house prices. Thus, the supply response prevents the change in housing demand from capitalizing in house prices.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 94%