Future permafrost degradation under climate change in a headwater catchment of Central Siberia: quantitative assessment with a mechanistic modelling approach
Thibault Xavier,
Laurent Orgogozo,
Anatoly S. Prokushkin
et al.
Abstract:Abstract. Permafrost thawing as a result of climate change has major consequences locally and globally for the biosphere as well as for human activities. The quantification of its extent and dynamics under different climate scenarios is needed to design local adaptation and mitigation measures and to better understand permafrost climate feedbacks. To this end, numerical simulation can be used to explore the response of soil thermo-hydric regimes to changes in climatic conditions. Mechanistic approaches minimiz… Show more
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