Statistical analysis employing regression
trees is utilized, for
the first time, for a PLA-based biocomposite system aiming to extract
knowledge in order to guide researchers toward intelligent selection
of experimental conditions for desired tensile strength values. For
the construction of the database, experimental data on PLA-based composites
from past publications was collected using online sources such as
ScienceDirect, Elsevier, ACS, and Google. The final data set that
was built using 26 papers (out of ∼150 initially screened)
published between 1999 and 2018 contained 135 experimental data points.
The response variable was selected as tensile strength, and 23 features
regarding composite synthesis were included involving manufacturing
method and temperature for compounding and testing, molecular weight
of the PLA used, chemical composition of the composite, and type of
filler employed in synthesis. Unbiased cross validation error of the
regression tree was found to be 12–17 MPa, with coefficient
of determination for prediction (R
p
2) value equal to 0.5–0.7 showing moderate-to-high prediction
accuracy. Results indicated the following: (i) The feature in top
node of the tree is the method used for manufacturing/testing rather
than the type of filler employed and the composition of the composite
(i.e., PLA content). PLA-based composites manufactured by solvent
casting and direct mixing displayed significantly lower tensile strength
values whereas biocomposites manufactured through other techniques
involving compression, injection, melt blending, hot pressing, and
aqueous suspension result in relatively higher tensile strength values.
(ii) The molecular weight of the PLA had a significant influence in
predicting the final tensile strength of the composite. The composites
manufacatured employing PLA with molecular weight in the range of
275–400 kDa displayed high tensile strength values. (iii) The
temperature employed during test specimen preparation for tensile
strength measurements (following compounding step) seemed to play
a critical role in the determination of tensile strength, and an optimum
test temperature to yield the highest tensile strength possibly exists
for each manufacturing method.