2018
DOI: 10.1177/1043463118759672
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From war to peace: Understanding the end of the armed conflict in Colombia

Abstract: The following article uses a simple-game theoretic model to explain the termination of the Colombian-armed conflict. Assuming a rationality of the Colombian Government and the guerrilla group, the Revolutionary Armed Forces, People’s Army within the internal armed conflict, an analysis of conjuncture and an identification of dimensions and strategies are used to try to explain the evolution of the armed conflict in the last two decades and its particular transformation. This is done by comparing the frustrated… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(4 citation statements)
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References 42 publications
(38 reference statements)
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“…In the words of Fisas (2004: 192), a conflict is ripe when it has reached “a stage in which it is possible to attain a change in both parties’ mentality so that, instead of seeking victory, they now pursue conciliation.” Touval and Zartman (1985), in work developed later by Zartman (1993, 2001, 2009), characterize this ripe stage of a conflict as a “mutually hurting stalemate,” a description closely related to that suggested by authors such as Mitchell (1995, 2011) or Crocker (1992) of an “enticing opportunity” or by Pizarro (2017) of a “mutually negative tie” (Ríos, 2018).…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 91%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…In the words of Fisas (2004: 192), a conflict is ripe when it has reached “a stage in which it is possible to attain a change in both parties’ mentality so that, instead of seeking victory, they now pursue conciliation.” Touval and Zartman (1985), in work developed later by Zartman (1993, 2001, 2009), characterize this ripe stage of a conflict as a “mutually hurting stalemate,” a description closely related to that suggested by authors such as Mitchell (1995, 2011) or Crocker (1992) of an “enticing opportunity” or by Pizarro (2017) of a “mutually negative tie” (Ríos, 2018).…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 91%
“…Given these circumstances, both parties used the time bought during the negotiations to strengthen their own military position with the goal of achieving the final victory (Ríos, 2018). Table 1 shows a marked increase in several indicators of violence such as armed incursions initiated by the FARC-EP and kidnappings between 1998 and 2001, while peace talks were going on.…”
Section: The Dynamics Of Conflict and Peacemaking: 1998–2016mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Es decir, las guerrillas optaron por reubicarse en escenarios periféricos, de condición geográfica hostil -selvática o montañosa-buscando entornos cocaleros de impronta fronteriza. Esta reterritorialización de la violencia (Pécaut, 2006;Salas, 2015) dificulta al Estado la consecución de golpes estratégicos, de manera que cada vez más deben invertir ingentes recursos para obtener menores resultados (Ríos, 2018).…”
Section: Crimen Violencia E Inseguridadunclassified
“…Therefore, it can be compared to the Job shop type of production system, given that highly personalized surgeries are performed in an intermediate production volume and are often related to a high cost. The modern practice of VS can be referred to as a tailor-made process (aortic aneurysm open planning and repair: venous endovascular interventions: amputations) (Dolan, 2020; Isacson, 2023; Ríos, 2018; The Economist, 2015).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%