2010
DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0327.2010.00242.x
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From Great Depression to Great Credit Crisis: similarities, differences and lessons

Abstract: "The Great Depression of the 1930s and the Great Credit Crisis of the 2000s had similar causes but elicited strikingly different policy responses. While it remains too early to assess the effectiveness of current policy, it is possible to analyse monetary and fiscal responses in the 1930s as a natural experiment or counterfactual capable of shedding light on the impact of current policies. We employ vector autoregressions, instrumental variables, and qualitative evidence for 27 countries in the period 1925-39.… Show more

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Cited by 206 publications
(79 citation statements)
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References 57 publications
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“…To overcome this problem, the IMF (2010a) employs a simulation approach. Additionally, in his critique of Alesina and Ardagna (2010), Krugman refers to work by Almunia et al (2010), which uses data from 1930s-an era of low interest rates-and uses defence spending as an instrument to identify spending changes, similar to Blanchard and Perotti (2002), Redlick (2009), andHall (2009). They find that fiscal stimulus was effective in a low interest rate environment, which is in contradiction to previous studies on that period.…”
Section: Discussioncontrasting
confidence: 54%
“…To overcome this problem, the IMF (2010a) employs a simulation approach. Additionally, in his critique of Alesina and Ardagna (2010), Krugman refers to work by Almunia et al (2010), which uses data from 1930s-an era of low interest rates-and uses defence spending as an instrument to identify spending changes, similar to Blanchard and Perotti (2002), Redlick (2009), andHall (2009). They find that fiscal stimulus was effective in a low interest rate environment, which is in contradiction to previous studies on that period.…”
Section: Discussioncontrasting
confidence: 54%
“…The magnitude of the global financial crisis even exceeded some negative records established by the Great Depression (Almunia et al, 2009;Reinhart and Rogoff, 2009). Innovators have suffered and high-technology companies saw their revenues decrease markedly with the drop in demand for higher-quality innovative products that tends to occur during recessions (Lien, 2010;Piva and Rossi-Lamastra, 2011).…”
Section: What To Expect Of Innovation As a Results Of The Crises?mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Some authors argue that it is more important to concentrate on private debt (households and enterprises) comparing to public debt while searching for policies towards financial stability (Schularick and Taylor, 2012). In the beginning of the last global financial crisis some authors analyzed relationship between increase of private borrowing and banking crisis (Schularick and Taylor, 2012), others research relationship between fiscal policy and financial crisis (Almunia et al 2010). But there were little attention towards analysis of joint public and private debt impact on financial stability (Jorda` et al 2013;Schularik, 2014).…”
Section: Financial Stability and Aggregated Debtsmentioning
confidence: 99%