From Demographic Dividend to Demographic Burden? Regional Trends of Population Aging in Russia

Abstract

The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.

Population ageing alongside health care spending growth

“…In geographic terms, it usually means migration of decreasing fertility pattern from the rich North towards the rising nations of the global South. Notable exception in this group of countries is the Russian Federation with its early historical roots of ageing in the late imperial Romanov era and its exceptional industrial legacy of the former Soviet Union [16]. Since the end of the Cold War in 1989 and accelerated globalization in many world regions such as the Eastern Europe, there is direct evidence of accelerated population ageing in these new social circumstances [17].…”

The aging of Europe. The unexplored potential

“…the Case of europe A myriad of modern day European nations are coping with the growing proportion of elderly citizens with Russia [4], Italy [5], Nordic [6], Balkan [7] nations among some notable examples. These changes have brought several important burden in different areas of social life [8].…”

Mathematical modeling of the demographic dividend (DD) capture applied in economy.

“…The study of the issue of the demographic dividend has always been a field tumultuous research in economics, Cardona et al [4], Elhadary et al [6], Groth et al [7], Groth et al [8], Matytsin et al [10], May et al [11], May et al [12], United Nations [14] and Turbat [15]. Capturing a demographic dividend (DD) on International Development in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is a subject of major interest in recent years in Groth et al [8].…”

“…Sub-Saharan African countries must also design and implement sound economic policies and improve good governance, in addition to the formulation and implementation of policies adequate ticks in the areas of population, education, health and gender equity. Since the early 1990s, as in many Eastern European countries, Russia has experienced three transitions political, economic and demographic according to Matytsin et al [10]. Demographically, Russia has entered the transition period with a predominantly young population and a low rate of dependency, and has benefited from large cohorts of people entering the market work.…”

“…Thus, the authors examined the impact of demographic trends on regional economic convergence in Russia.They made a comparison demographic trends in Russia with those in Europe, and explore the link between demographic change and growth for the regions of Russia from 1996 to 2011. Matytsin et al [10] econometrically studied the conditions of regional convergence of the demographic dividend over this period. Bloom et al [3] stipulated that managing rapid and stimulating population growth urolling economic growth are among the most pressing policy challenges for Sub-Saharan Africa.…”