From aggregations to multimethod case configurations. Case diversity in quantitative analysis when explaining COVID-19 fatalities

Haynes, Philip; Alemna, David

doi:10.1080/13645579.2022.2122224

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 29 publications

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“…It combines the challenging and complementary strengths and weaknesses of cluster analysis (CA) and case-based configurational modelling in a given research situation (Haynes, 2017). The DPS methodological approach was recently used in exploring macroeconomic convergence within the European Union (Haynes and Alemna, 2023a, 2023b), the impacts of Covid-19 interventions across OECD countries (Haynes and Alemna, 2022), and in observing trends in English local government spending in transition towards the ’marketization of income’ (Taylor, et. al., 2020).…”

Section: Dynamic Pattern Synthesismentioning

confidence: 99%

Systems dynamics and causal configurations: Using dynamic pattern synthesis for macroeconomic comparative research

Alemna,

Haynes

2024

Methodological Innovations

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Dynamic Pattern Synthesis (DPS) provides a new longitudinal method for evaluating the impacts of macroeconomic and public policy interventions. Situated within complexity theory and critical realism, it has evolved from the established methods of Cluster Analysis and Configurational Modelling approaches. Dynamic Pattern Synthesis identifies case convergence and divergence (using quantitative techniques), while remaining close to the qualitative uniqueness of each case. In this paper, the DPS approach is used to consider macroeconomic convergence across Sub-Saharan Africa during the Millennium Development Goals, and the possible impacts of IMF interventions in stimulating long-term macroeconomic outcomes. The findings reveal a high degree of economic instability experienced across the region and varying responses to an external shock. The importance of ‘outliers’ and inconsistency in country convergence are also observed. The DPS method highlights the importance of individual country experiences in relation to external shocks. When factoring in IMF interventions, the findings highlight multiple paths to a given policy outcome, rather than a single optimal economic strategy. This opens up the debate on policy issues associated with economic complexity, including how best to create an overall environment of stability that might promote convergence and reduce the instability that undermines planning and investment.

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