Freight futures: The potential impact of road freight on climate policy

Carrara, Samuel; Longden, Thomas

doi:10.1016/j.trd.2016.10.007

Cited by 39 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…Alternative technologies for air and water transportation are not considered, since the use of other fuels than liquids in those sectors does not seem to be a realistic large-scale commercial option in the foreseen future. [155][156][157][158][159] For these sectors, the standard top-down energy intensity improvement is considered (as for the rest of the economic sectors in the model, see Section 2.2.2).…”

Section: Papermentioning

confidence: 99%

MEDEAS: a new modeling framework integrating global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints

Capellán‐Pérez

Blás

Nieto

et al. 2020

Energy Environ. Sci.

101

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Section: Papermentioning

confidence: 99%

MEDEAS: a new modeling framework integrating global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints

Capellán‐Pérez

Blás

Nieto

et al. 2020

Energy Environ. Sci.

101

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“…An improved representation of the freight sector is also an area of future research. A few recent modeling efforts have started to address these critical issues: (Bunch et al 2015, ÓBroin and Guivarch 2016, Carrara and Longden 2016.…”

Section: 2mentioning

confidence: 99%

Detailed assessment of global transport-energy models’ structures and projections

Yeh

Mishra

Fulton

et al. 2017

Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment

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This paper focuses on comparing the frameworks and projections from four global transportation models with considerable technology details. We analyze and compare the modeling frameworks, underlying data, assumptions, intermediate parameters, and projections to identify the sources of divergence or consistency, as well as key knowledge gaps. We find that there are significant differences in the base-year data and key parameters for future projections, especially for developing countries. These include passenger and freight activity, mode shares, vehicle ownership rates, and even energy consumption by mode, particularly for shipping, aviation and trucking. This may be due in part to a lack of previous efforts to do such consistency-checking and "bench-marking." We find that the four models differ in terms of the relative roles of various mitigation strategies to achieve a 2 °C / 450 ppm target: the economics-based integrated assessment models favor the use of low carbon fuels as the primary mitigation option followed by efficiency improvements, whereas transport-only and expert-based models favor efficiency improvements of vehicles followed by mode shifts. We offer recommendations for future modeling improvements focusing on (1) reducing data gaps; (2) translating the findings from this study into relevant policy implications such as gaps of current policy goals, additional policy targets needed, regional vs. global reductions, etc.; (3) modeling strata of demographic groups to improve understanding of vehicle ownership levels, travel behavior, and urban vs. rural considerations; and (4) conducting coordinated efforts in aligning historical data, and comparing input assumptions and results of policy analysis and modeling insights.

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“…Hypothesis H3.3 which stipulated that the existence of an environmental policy affects positively the limitation of the ecological impacts of UFT was also rejected. It is based on the work of (Kishimoto et al, 2017;Carrara and Longden, 2016) who studied the impact of implementing a policy environment on the transport of goods in the city. This can be explained by the fact that even though Morocco has embarked on a voluntary initiative to protect the environment 7 , it seems that the legal framework of the environment poses problems of implementation 8,9 . In fact, the country has acceded to a number of multilateral environmental agreements 10 .…”

Section: Interpretations and Discussion Of Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

A study framework for assessing the performance of the urban freight transport based on PLS approach

Moufad

Jawab

2019

AoT

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The urban freight transport (UFT) is an important component of the urban logistics. It represents a driving force for the economic dynamics and attractiveness of a city. It can be treated as all movements of goods necessary for the economic activities, the institutions and the residents of urban life. Through, it faces with problems relating to the congestion, unsafety, atmospheric and noise pollution that constrain its performance and hinder its development. This performance is a complex subject on which a great deal of research has emerged in the last decade. Accordingly, this paper aims to develop a model for assessing the performance of the UFT. The objective is to identify the determinants of the performance of the urban freight transport and measure the impact of each factor. Therefore the first part of this article concerns the elaboration of the model and the formulation of the hypotheses. First, an overview of the factors that could influence the performance of the UFT was identified based on a literature review. The result of this step allowed to model, by mobilizing the GRAI grid (Graph of results and interrelated activities), the UFT system in order to release the decisional links between these factors. Then, the grid will be decomposed into hypotheses explaining the relations between the factors and the performance of the UFT. The formulation of each hypothesis will be based on all the theoretical works that have treated it. The second part includes the empirical study to test the model using the partial least squares (PLS) analysis. Therefore, we conducted a survey among managers and users of the UFT in the city of Fez. A hypothetico-deductive approach has been used with a sequential methodological complementarity between qualitative analysis for exploratory purposes and the support of quantitative analysis for confirmation. The results of the test, confirm a significant influence of the identified factors on the UFT performance. The practical scope of this paper is to provide a decision-making framework for urban management department explaining the impact of these factors on the UFT performance.

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Freight futures: The potential impact of road freight on climate policy

Cited by 39 publications

References 17 publications

MEDEAS: a new modeling framework integrating global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints

MEDEAS: a new modeling framework integrating global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints

Detailed assessment of global transport-energy models’ structures and projections

A study framework for assessing the performance of the urban freight transport based on PLS approach

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