Forest fires and climate change: causes, consequences and management options

Aponte, Cristina; Groot, William J. de; Wotton, B. M.

doi:10.1071/wfv25n8_fo

Cited by 63 publications

(52 citation statements)

References 11 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…The last decades of the 20th century and the beginning of the 21st century have witnessed a global rise in temperatures and a higher frequency of extreme climate events (IPCC, ). Climate change fosters natural disasters (Helmer and Hilhorst, ) and Europe is experiencing more frequent and severe meteorological and streamflow droughts, heat and cold waves, river and coastal flooding, wildfires, and windstorms (Lindner et al, ; Russo et al, ; Spinoni et al, , ; Aponte et al, ; Forzieri et al, ). These events have a wide range of economic, social, and environmental impacts, making it difficult to coordinate adaptation strategies across Europe (Biesbroek et al, ; Iglesias et al, ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Changes of heating and cooling degree‐days in Europe from 1981 to 2100

Spinoni

Vogt

Barbosa

et al. 2017

Intl Journal of Climatology

164

116

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

During the last decades, the effects of global warming have become apparent also in Europe, causing relevant impacts in many sectors. Under projected future global warming, such a tendency can be expected to persist until the end of this century and beyond. Identifying which climate-related impacts are likely to increase, and by how much, is an important element of any effective strategy for managing future climate risks. This study investigates whether energy demand for cooling and heating buildings can be expected to increase or decrease under climate change. Two indicators of weather-related energy consumption for heating and cooling buildings are considered: heating degree-days (HDD) and cooling degree-days (CDD). The evolution of these indicators has been analysed based on 11 high-resolution bias-adjusted EURO-CORDEX simulations for two emission representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Both indicators have been validated over the period 1981-2010 using an independent data set that contains more than 4000 station data, showing very high correlation over most of Europe. Trends of HDD and CDD from 1981 to 2100, together with their uncertainties, are analysed. For both RCPs, all simulations project a significant decrease for HDD, especially over Scandinavia and European Russia, and an increase of CDD which peaks over the Mediterranean region and the Balkans. Overall, degree-day trends do not show remarkable differences if population weighting is applied. If a constant population scenario is considered, the decrease in HDD will outbalance the increase in CDD in the 21st century over most of Europe. Thus the related energy demand (expressed as Energy Degree-days, EDD) is expected to decrease. If, however, population projections over the 21st century are included in the calculations, it is shown that despite the persisting warming, EDD will increase over northern Europe, the Baltic countries, Great Britain, Ireland, Benelux, the Alps, Spain, and Cyprus, resulting in an overall increase in EDD over Europe.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Changes of heating and cooling degree‐days in Europe from 1981 to 2100

Spinoni

Vogt

Barbosa

et al. 2017

Intl Journal of Climatology

164

116

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…If this trend is applicable to our lakes, it would mean that by 2100, the new average ice-off date would occur within about four days of 2012, the most extreme year on record. Shorter periods of snow cover and warmer growing seasons could also have indirect effects on mountain lakes such as more forest fires and decreased stream flows (Hoffman, Fountain, and Achuff 2007;Clow 2010;Aponte, de Groot, and Wotton 2016). These watershed impacts can affect lake clarity and inflows (Barnett, Adam, and Lettenmaier 2005;Bixby et al 2015) and amplify direct effects of air temperature rise on lake temperatures (Christianson, Johnson, and Hooten 2020).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Combined effects of early snowmelt and climate warming on mountain lake temperatures and fish energetics

Christianson

Johnson

2020

Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Mountain regions are experiencing some of the highest air temperature increases and ice cover decreases. However, few studies have examined the effects of climate warming and earlier snowmelt on mountain lake thermal characteristics and energetic implications for fish. We assessed potential climate-induced thermal changes and energetic consequences for cutthroat trout (Oncorhynchus clarkii spp.) and brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) in the Southern Rocky Mountains, United States. We found that summer growing degree days increased by an average 21 percent with 2°C air warming and 43 percent with 5°C air warming. But earlier snowmelt increased growing degree days by an average 48 percent. The average maintenance ration with 2°C and 5°C warming increased respectively by 13.8 and 21.9 percent for cutthroat trout and 23.8 and 37.4 percent for brook trout. The average increase in food required with earlier snowmelt was 43.4 percent for cutthroat trout and 52.3 percent for brook trout. Thus, earlier snowmelt can have a greater effect on fish energy requirements than a 5°C rise in air temperatures. Snowmelt recession together with a 5°C air temperature rise could more than double food requirements for fish to maintain constant body weight. If lake productivity increases with these climatic changes, then trout growth could improve; otherwise, energetic demands may result in lower fish growth.

show abstract

“…El fuego es, en muchos casos, un componente esencial del ecosistema que garantiza la sostenibilidad de sus procesos y comunidades [1]. Desde su aparición, el mismo ha desempeñado un papel clave como filtro ambiental, seleccionando especies y sus rasgos, y dando forma a las comunidades de los ecosistemas.…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

“…Desde su aparición, el mismo ha desempeñado un papel clave como filtro ambiental, seleccionando especies y sus rasgos, y dando forma a las comunidades de los ecosistemas. Sin embargo, no todos los incendios son iguales y los ecosistemas expuestos a regímenes de incendios fuera de su rango histórico de variabilidad pueden volverse vulnerables y sufrir cambios irreversibles [1]. Lo anterior se torna preocupante si se considera que a nivel internacional entre 2003 y 2012, aproximadamente 67 millones de hectáreas (1,7 %) de las tierras forestales se quemaron anualmente, principalmente en las regiones tropicales de América del Sur y África.…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

Comportamiento histórico de los incendios forestales en el Cantón Rocafuerte, provincia Manabí, Ecuador, en el periodo 2016 – 2019

Gras-Rodríguez

Ramos-Rodríguez

Medranda-Mendieta

et al. 2020

RFMK

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Los análisis del comportamiento histórico de los incendios forestales suministran informaciones imprescindibles para la elaboración de programas eficaces de manejo del fuego en los territorios. Estos análisis permiten definir dónde, cuándo y por qué se producen los incendios. El objetivo de este trabajo fue analizar el comportamiento histórico de los incendios forestales en el Cantón Rocafuerte, Manabí, Ecuador, en el periodo 2016 al 2019. Los datos fueron suministrados por el Cuerpo de Bomberos de Rocafuerte. El análisis se realizó considerando las ocurrencias de incendios en un contexto espacio-temporal (años, meses, días de la semana, horas del día y localidades). El análisis estadístico se realizó con el programa SPSS Statistics for Windows (Version 22.0). Se trabajó con un nivel de significancia del 0,05 (p=0,05). En el periodo analizado se reportaron 309 ocurrencias, correspondiendo al año 2018 el mayor porcentaje (30,42 %). La media mensual de ocurrencias fue de 25,75 superándose este valor en seis meses (diciembre, enero y junio a septiembre) correspondiendo a ellos el 61,48 % del total de incendios. No se encontró diferencia estadísticamente significativa para las ocurrencias según los días de la semana (p=0,650) según los resultados del Análisis de Varianza. Los incendios ocurrieron en 51 localidades del Cantón Rocafuerte concentrándose en seis de ellas el 60,52 % del total. El 52,43 % de los incendios se originó por negligencias.

show abstract

Forest fires and climate change: causes, consequences and management options

Cited by 63 publications

References 11 publications

Changes of heating and cooling degree‐days in Europe from 1981 to 2100

Changes of heating and cooling degree‐days in Europe from 1981 to 2100

Combined effects of early snowmelt and climate warming on mountain lake temperatures and fish energetics

Comportamiento histórico de los incendios forestales en el Cantón Rocafuerte, provincia Manabí, Ecuador, en el periodo 2016 – 2019

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About