Forest Fire Propagation Prediction Based on Overlapping DDDAS Forecasts

Artés, Tomàs; Cardíl, Adrián; Margalef, Tomás; Molina, Domingo; Pelegrín, Lucas; Ramírez, Joaquin

doi:10.1016/j.procs.2015.05.294

Cited by 21 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…Based on the results of this study, regulatory master plans and spatial development tools depicting scenarios to ensure sustainable development and regions more resilient to natural disasters, should limit urban sprawl and rural abandonment [10,40,44,57,74], protecting, at the same time, the most vulnerable areas to wildfires, especially those situated close to dense road networks. From this perspective, agriculture can be regarded as a factor promoting and reducing fire risk at the same time.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Road Network and the Spatial Distribution of Wildfires in the Valencian Community (1993–2015)

et al. 2019

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Understanding the role of wildfire drivers is essential to implement more effective prevention strategies at the regional scale and to promote specific mitigation actions at the local scale. By considering municipalities as the elementary analysis domain, the present study investigates the spatial distribution of wildfires in the Valencian Community, a Mediterranean fire-prone area with variable climate regimes, heterogeneous landscapes and increasing human pressure. Assuming that a denser road network increases the probability of wildfire occurrence, results of a quantitative analysis exploring the relationship between spatial location of ignition points and roads were presented. The empirical findings of this study contribute to ascertain the role of roads as a direct (or indirect) cause of wildfires in the Mediterranean region.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Road Network and the Spatial Distribution of Wildfires in the Valencian Community (1993–2015)

et al. 2019

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“…These early initial early estimates can be helpful in orienting operational near real-time fire management decision making [39,64]. Furthermore, these interpolated perimeters can allow researchers to initialize and calibrate fire propagation models to support in operational real-time decision making [38,40,43,65,66]. Interestingly, aggregated MODIS and VIIRS perimeters showed a good capacity for detecting some small active fire clusters, not detected by MODIS burned area products.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Finally, while one advantage of the tested approach is the simplicity of the convex hull algorithm tested, which is widely available for use in GIS operational software tools, future studies might analyze potential improvements in the perimeter prediction with more complex algorithms that have also shown potential for fire perimeter delineation [15], together with its potential application for calibrating fire propagation models to support in operational real time decision making [39,40,43,[64][65][66].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Near Real-Time Automated Early Mapping of the Perimeter of Large Forest Fires from the Aggregation of VIIRS and MODIS Active Fires in Mexico

et al. 2020

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In contrast with current operational products of burned area, which are generally available one month after the fire, active fires are readily available, with potential application for early evaluation of approximate fire perimeters to support fire management decision making in near real time. While previous coarse-scale studies have focused on relating the number of active fires to a burned area, some local-scale studies have proposed the spatial aggregation of active fires to directly obtain early estimate perimeters from active fires. Nevertheless, further analysis of this latter technique, including the definition of aggregation distance and large-scale testing, is still required. There is a need for studies that evaluate the potential of active fire aggregation for rapid initial fire perimeter delineation, particularly taking advantage of the improved spatial resolution of the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer (VIIRS) 375 m, over large areas and long periods of study. The current study tested the use of convex hull algorithms for deriving coarse-scale perimeters from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) active fire detections, compared against the mapped perimeter of the MODIS collection 6 (MCD64A1) burned area. We analyzed the effect of aggregation distance (750, 1000, 1125 and 1500 m) on the relationships of active fire perimeters with MCD64A1, for both individual fire perimeter prediction and total burned area estimation, for the period 2012–2108 in Mexico. The aggregation of active fire detections from MODIS and VIIRS demonstrated a potential to offer coarse-scale early estimates of the perimeters of large fires, which can be available to support fire monitoring and management in near real time. Total burned area predicted from aggregated active fires followed the same temporal behavior as the standard MCD64A1 burned area, with potential to also account for the role of smaller fires detected by the thermal anomalies. The proposed methodology, based on easily available algorithms of point aggregation, is susceptible to be utilized both for near real-time and historical fire perimeter evaluation elsewhere. Future studies might test active fires aggregation between regions or biomes with contrasting fuel characteristics and human activity patterns against medium resolution (e.g., Landsat and Sentinel) fire perimeters. Furthermore, coarse-scale active fire perimeters might be utilized to locate areas where such higher-resolution imagery can be downloaded to improve the evaluation of fire extent and impact.

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“…The forest fire spreading is a complex process affected by multi-factors. Understanding the relationships between these multi-factors and the forest fire-spreading trend is vital to predicting the fire spreading promptly and accurately, creating the strategy in extinguishing the forest fire [2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modern Designs of Forest Fires Machines for Soil Extinguishment of Fire

Бартенев¹,

Malyukov²,

Gnusov³

et al. 2018

Proceedings of the International Symposium “Engineering and Earth Sciences: Applied and Fundamental Research” (ISEES 2018)

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Theoretical issues of the use of a fire-fighting soilthrower for extinguishing forest fires with the presentation of its practical use in conditions of high fire risk are considered. To assess the effectiveness of the use of new units in the article, a study of the information base for the use of existing technology in modern conditions has been conducted. Promising directions for improving the technology and working bodies of soil throwing machines are described; the advantages and disadvantages of their structures are identified, and ways for further improvement are outlined. In order to eliminate the identified shortcomings, a promising design of a combined machine for extinguishing forest fires with soil, which contains a frame, a linkage mechanism, auger, a ripper, spherical disks, support wheels, skids, and a working body in the form of cutters (front and rear), gearbox, guiding jackets, hydraulic cylinders, transmission, safety devices is presented. A distinctive feature of the developed design of the fire-fighting soil-thrower is to increase the efficiency of the operation of the dirt throwing machine and fire-break maker by removing the upper fire-hazardous cover consisting of plant residues. This is achieved due to the fact that a device in the form of a double-sided auger installed in front of the discs is inserted into the design of the primer-stripper. The auger shifts the ground cover from the center to the left and right sides, forming an open mineralized strip.

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Forest Fire Propagation Prediction Based on Overlapping DDDAS Forecasts

Cited by 21 publications

References 5 publications

Road Network and the Spatial Distribution of Wildfires in the Valencian Community (1993–2015)

Road Network and the Spatial Distribution of Wildfires in the Valencian Community (1993–2015)

Near Real-Time Automated Early Mapping of the Perimeter of Large Forest Fires from the Aggregation of VIIRS and MODIS Active Fires in Mexico

Modern Designs of Forest Fires Machines for Soil Extinguishment of Fire

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