“…In previous studies of past fire regimes for northern Europe, climate was identified as the main driver [e.g., Pitkänen et al, 2002;Carcaillet et al, 2007;Olsson et al, 2010], but in addition to direct climate effects, interactions with species composition can also be important [Pitkänen et al, 2002;Tryterud, 2003;Brown and Giesecke, 2014]. A historical example of this is the (re-)establishment of spruce in Scandinavia during the Holocene, which is thought to be initiated by climate, and which could then trigger a change from a (prespruce) fire-prone to a (postspruce) fire-free area [Tryterud, 2003;Ohlson et al, 2011]. Observations such as these pose the question whether future climate change would also potentially lead to changes in natural vegetation types that could notably alter the future fire regime.…”