2015
DOI: 10.3367/ufnr.0185.201504f.0415
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Foreshocks and aftershocks of strong earthquakes in the light of catastrophe theory

Abstract: It is useful to consider the earthquakes in terms of catastrophe theory. In the paper, we illustrate this statement by analysis foreshocks preceding the strong earthquakes. We focused on the so-called catastrophe flags, and on the triggers that cause the critical transitions. The analysis shows a sharp increase of foreshock activity 3 h before the mainshock. This result is reminiscent of the well-known activation of the ULF magnetic precursors of earthquakes. Furthermore, we found that the characteristic frequ… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…Another type of deviations from the Omori law (1) arises due to the phenomenon of round-the-world seismic echo. We will not dwell on this, referring the interested reader to the papers [5,6].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Another type of deviations from the Omori law (1) arises due to the phenomenon of round-the-world seismic echo. We will not dwell on this, referring the interested reader to the papers [5,6].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This means that a pre-seismic phenomenon existed for the time variations of displacements and azimuth even during a few hours immediately before the 2011 Tohoku EQ. Guglielmi et al (2013) have recently studied the foreshocks of strong EQs in light of catastrophe theory. Their analysis indicates a sharp increase of foreshock activity three hours before the main shock, including our 2011 Tohoku EQ, which is consistent with our GPS results.…”
Section: Pre-seismic Movements Of the 2011 Tohoku Eqmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The possibility of the impact of surface and bulk seismic waves on stresses in the lithosphere is not excluded. It occurs near earthquakes and initiates the occurrence of a seismic hazard Z ′′ propagation chain reaction [33][34][35].…”
Section: Methods Of Research the Clustering Of Seismic Activity Localmentioning
confidence: 99%