Foreign Policy Revisionism in the Era of COVID-19: Theory and Evidence from Chinese Public Opinion

Byun, Joshua; D, Kim; S, Li

doi:10.2139/ssrn.3762823

Cited by 2 publications

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“…Between March and May 2020, half of Americans surveyed expected China's global influence to diminish as a result of the pandemic (Mordecai, 2020). In contrast, online polling conducted in China during the first six months of the pandemic revealed that Chinese held "conspicuously optimistic" beliefs about COVID-19 accelerating China's rise relative to the US (Byun et al, 2021). Moreover, Byun et al found that COVID-19 optimism reliably predicted Chinese support for revisionist foreign policies, including the use of force against the US and its allies.…”

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confidence: 98%

American and Chinese Public Opinion in an Era of Great Power Competition

Irwin¹,

Mandel²,

MacLeod³

2021

Preprint

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As US-China great power competition intensifies, public opinion polling may help gauge internal drivers of foreign policy decision-making. Using Pew Research Center data, we analyzed how Americans and Chinese perceived their own and each other’s countries between 2008-2016. We also compared these samples’ perceptions of current economic and future superpower leadership. While Chinese evaluated China more favorably than Americans evaluated the US, they also evaluated the US more favorably than Americans evaluated China. Among Americans, on average, Republicans viewed China less favorably and the US more favorably than Independents or Democrats. Although Chinese consistently viewed the US as the current economic leader, Chinese became increasingly optimistic about China’s prospects for future superpower preeminence over time. Conversely, American perceptions of America’s future status as a leading superpower became increasingly pessimistic over time, especially for Republicans and Independents. Republicans and Independents were also more optimistic about US economic leadership under Republican presidents, while Democrat perceptions were more consistent over time. We discuss our findings’ implications for US-China great power competition and in view of psychological theory.

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Section: Fast Forwarding To the Presentmentioning

confidence: 98%

American and Chinese Public Opinion in an Era of Great Power Competition

Irwin¹,

Mandel²,

MacLeod³

2021

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

Now a systemic rival? Inklings of complex representations of the EU in public survey data of Chinese urban residents

2023

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China–EU relations have become more challenging recently, especially with China being labeled a ‘systemic rival’. We therefore examine Chinese perceptions of the EU, particularly to see if recent developments have led to changing representations of the EU. This article specifically attempts to discern nascent changes in the complex representation of the EU amongst the general Chinese public by analyzing and comparing original data from two surveys of 3000 Chinese citizens in six major cities conducted in 2010 and in 2020. Our study uncovers the Chinese respondents’ perceptions of the EU in a multifaceted way by providing evidence that they are reconstructing the image of the EU and reconsidering its global role. The overall assessment of China–EU relations by the Chinese public remains one of general goodwill. However, there are more discerning and critical opinions of the EU from the respondents as well, suggesting a much more differentiated view toward the EU. In highlighting the continuities and changes, and situating this discussion within the theoretical lens of two specific forms of complex representation, role and image theories, this study provides a timely and topical discussion of the emergence of a complex portrayal of the EU.

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Foreign Policy Revisionism in the Era of COVID-19: Theory and Evidence from Chinese Public Opinion

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

American and Chinese Public Opinion in an Era of Great Power Competition

American and Chinese Public Opinion in an Era of Great Power Competition

Now a systemic rival? Inklings of complex representations of the EU in public survey data of Chinese urban residents

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