“…Jervis’s (1978) concept of security dilemma, Waltz’s (1979) chain-ganging hypothesis, and the subsequent scholarship building on them (Christensen and Snyder, 1990, 2011; Lieber, 2007; Snyder, 1984; Tierney, 2011; Van Evera, 1984) offer a realist explanation of the origins of the First World War, but this corpus does not suffice to explain specific decisions such as why the Ottomans sided with Germany as opposed to another power like France, which was their main creditor (Geyikdagi, 2011: 51), largest investor (Geyikdagi, 2011: 57), and a major arms supplier (Grant, 2002: 32–33). Indeed, archival documents reveal a dissonance between IR’s theories and history’s accounts of alliance behavior.…”