2016
DOI: 10.1186/s13071-016-1804-y
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Forecasting United States heartworm Dirofilaria immitis prevalence in dogs

Abstract: BackgroundThis paper forecasts next year’s canine heartworm prevalence in the United States from 16 climate, geographic and societal factors. The forecast’s construction and an assessment of its performance are described.MethodsThe forecast is based on a spatial-temporal conditional autoregressive model fitted to over 31 million antigen heartworm tests conducted in the 48 contiguous United States during 2011–2015. The forecast uses county-level data on 16 predictive factors, including temperature, precipitatio… Show more

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Cited by 36 publications
(36 citation statements)
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(39 reference statements)
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“…Dirofilaria immitis, the causative agent in heartworm disease, is spread worldwide through infected mosquitos. The main reservoir for D. immitis is the domestic dog, but human, felid, and wildlife infections are documented [1]. In 2018, the Companion Animal Parasite Council compiled 143,492 cases of heartworm disease in dogs.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Dirofilaria immitis, the causative agent in heartworm disease, is spread worldwide through infected mosquitos. The main reservoir for D. immitis is the domestic dog, but human, felid, and wildlife infections are documented [1]. In 2018, the Companion Animal Parasite Council compiled 143,492 cases of heartworm disease in dogs.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This is a significant increase in heartworm positive cases from just 5 years prior when in 2013, 77,557 cases of heartworm disease in dogs were reported (CAPC Database). Both climate change and increases in the interstate and international transport of dogs have increased the prevalence of heartworm disease around the world [1,2]. Microfilaremic dogs can serve as a reservoir for parasite transmission.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…D. immitis, the agent of heartworm disease, is distributed worldwide and is responsible for the heart failure in dogs after the colonization of pulmonary arteries and the right ventricle, where it can be fatal if untreated. Due to the gravity of the disease, it remains the most commonly diagnosed filariasis in dogs due to the detection of antigen circulating in the blood [11,12,13].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…reported, albeit rarely (Theis, 2005). With over a 100,000 dogs affected annually, D. immitis has been identified as the most important parasite affecting dogs in the United States (Bowman et al, 2016).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%