Forecasting the adoption and spread of a community-based marine management initiative using agent-based models
Andreas Christ Sølvsten Jørgensen,
Thomas Pienkowski,
Matthew Clark
et al.
Abstract:While many successful initiatives for conserving nature exist, efforts to take them to scale have been inadequate. Moreover, conservation science currently lacks a systematic methodology for determining if or when interventions will reach effective scales and how programmatic decisions will affect the scaling process. This paper presents a modelling framework that aims to address both issues by operationalizing Diffusion of Innovations theory and local knowledge using agent-based modelling and Bayesian inferen… Show more
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