Forecasting of Musical Equipment Demand Based on a Deep Neural Network

Abstract

With the popularity of music, the music equipment market has ushered in a new round of explosion. But at the same time, the market environment is changing rapidly, and music equipment companies are greatly affected by market changes. This type of enterprise has a wide variety of products, fast update, short delivery time and urgent time, which is a severe challenge to its production and operation. In this environment, in order to quickly respond to changes in the market environment, and to formulate plans for corporate procurement, production, and sales in an orderly manner, music equipment companies must make accurate predictions of market demand. At present, the extended research based on LSTM is a relatively mainstream deep neural network in the research methods of time series problems. This article is based on LSTM model to conduct an in-depth study on the prediction of music equipment demand. In order to solve the problems of overfitting, disappearance of gradient, model collapse and other problems in previous experimental studies, this paper proposes an improved LSTM prediction model. In terms of model structure selection, Dropout mechanism is used, and L2 regular term is introduced. In the selection of the activation function, MReLU function is proposed, which can improve the prediction effect of the model and enhance the applicability of the model. To measure the prediction effect of the improved LSTM model established in this paper, this paper selects RMSE and MAE as evaluation indicators, and compares experiments with other mainstream prediction models. The research results show that the improved LSTM network prediction model is superior to other models in the prediction of music equipment demand, which verifies the effectiveness.