Forecast of natural gas consumption in 30 regions of China under dual carbon target

Evaluation of fiscal policy with text mining under "dual carbon" target in China

“…Natural gas, as a clean and low-carbon energy resource, also plays a pivotal role in the low-carbon transition, garnering considerable attention. Zhang He et al (2023) employed a quantile cumulative grey model to forecast natural gas consumption across China's 30 regions (provinces, cities, and autonomous areas) from 2022 to 2030, predicting a continued rise in natural gas consumption for most regions, barring a few special cases [ 9 ]. Regarding the major trends in energy consumption and carbon emissions, China's primary energy consumption is anticipated to peak around 2035, while carbon emissions from energy consumption are projected to peak circa 2025, and natural gas consumption is expected to reach its zenith around 2040, with the power and industrial sectors experiencing the highest growth rates [ 10 ].…”