Forced Manager Turnovers in English Soccer Leagues: A Long-Term Perspective

d’Addona, Stefano; Kind, Axel

doi:10.2139/ssrn.1966543

Cited by 10 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…In English premier league football managers are replaced for various reasons, but predominantly because of poor performance (Audas et al 1999;Dobson and Goddard 2011;Bachan et al 2008;d'Addona and Kind 2014). 16 In our paper, we investigate the effectiveness of in-season manager replacements, using data of 15 seasons from English Premier League football.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effectiveness of In-Season Manager Changes in English Premier League Football

2016

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We analyze the performance effects of in-season manager changes in English Premier League football during the seasons 2000/2001-2014/2015. We find that some managerial changes are successful, while others are counterproductive. On average, performance does not improve following a managerial replacement. The successfulness of managerial turnover depends on specific highly unpredictable circumstances, as we illustrate through case-studies.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effectiveness of In-Season Manager Changes in English Premier League Football

2016

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“…There is a broad consensus that disappointing team performance is the main reason that managers get fired, see e.g. Audas et al (1999), Bachan et al (2008), Barros et al (2009), d'Addona andKind (2014) and Van Ours and Van Tuijl (2016). The effect of replacing a manager on consequent performance is more ambiguous, with some authors documenting a (partial) positive effect (Tena andForrest, 2007, andSchneemann et al, 2016), while others find no effect (Bruinshoofd and Ter Weel, 2003, Koning,2003, De Paolo and Scoppa, 2011, and Van Ours and Van Tuijl, 2016.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Inefficient Advantage of Experience in the Market for Football Managers

2017

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in AbstractWe study hiring in a labor market where worker ability can only be observed on-the-job, but quickly becomes public information after labor market entry. We show that firms in these markets have a socially inefficient incentive to hire low talented, experienced workers instead of more promising labor market entrants, either when an extremely poor hire may bankrupt the firm, or when workers cannot commit to long-term contracts. In a dataset covering 38 years of hiring in the English labor market for football managers, we find that in around one quarter of all cases, where a firm hires an experienced worker, this experienced worker has an estimated ability below the average ability of recent labor market entrants. We argue this hiring behavior is inefficient, because it has persistently depressed the average ability of the active manager labor force over our sample period.JEL Codes: M51, J63, J24, Z22

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“…Outro problema econométrico que era desconsiderado em trabalhos mais antigos é que técnicos não são demitidos aleatoriamente e sim após uma sequência de maus desempenhos de sua equipe (Audas et al 1999, Dobson & Goddard 2001, D'Addona & Kind 2014. A esse respeito, é comum observar que sequências de resultados excepcionalmente baixos são estatisticamente seguidas por uma recuperação, esse fenômeno é conhecido como regressão à média, ou seja, resultados que tendem a estar mais próximos da média.…”

Section: Revisão Da Literaturaunclassified

Rotatividade de treinadores e o desempenho das equipes de futebol no Brasil

2021

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Este trabalho analisa as consequências de mudanças de treinadores no transcorrer de uma competição. Foram usados dados de nove temporadas do futebol brasileiro, com indicadores de resultado dos times rodada-a-rodada e informações de casas de apostas. A partir das estimativas obtidas, foram percebidas melhoras em várias medidas de desempenho após a substituição de treinador, considerando o jogo seguinte à mudança. No entanto, esse efeito acaba sendo estatisticamente não significativo, quando analisado sobre uma maior quantidade de jogos após a mudança. Dessa forma, verifica-se que a mudança de treinador não se mostra uma estratégia efetiva de melhoria de desempenho.

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Forced Manager Turnovers in English Soccer Leagues: A Long-Term Perspective

Cited by 10 publications

References 39 publications

Effectiveness of In-Season Manager Changes in English Premier League Football

Effectiveness of In-Season Manager Changes in English Premier League Football

The Inefficient Advantage of Experience in the Market for Football Managers

Rotatividade de treinadores e o desempenho das equipes de futebol no Brasil

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