2018
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0194695
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Food supply and bioenergy production within the global cropland planetary boundary

Abstract: Supplying food for the anticipated global population of over 9 billion in 2050 under changing climate conditions is one of the major challenges of the 21st century. Agricultural expansion and intensification contributes to global environmental change and risks the long-term sustainability of the planet. It has been proposed that no more than 15% of the global ice-free land surface should be converted to cropland. Bioenergy production for land-based climate mitigation places additional pressure on limited land … Show more

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Cited by 48 publications
(29 citation statements)
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References 76 publications
(89 reference statements)
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“…However, identifying the hotspots where future conflicts between biodiversity and agriculture are likely to arise is a first essential step to aid sustainability policies and conservation prioritization schemes. This is also becoming increasingly important with regard to efforts for increasing future bioenergy demand 73 and negative emission scenarios, by use of bio-energy carbon capture and storage (BECCS) technologies 74 . Integrative approaches, such as the one presented here, support the calls for assessing the trade-offs in alternative agricultural pathways and can ultimately help us to meet production goals while maintaining our vital life-support systems.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, identifying the hotspots where future conflicts between biodiversity and agriculture are likely to arise is a first essential step to aid sustainability policies and conservation prioritization schemes. This is also becoming increasingly important with regard to efforts for increasing future bioenergy demand 73 and negative emission scenarios, by use of bio-energy carbon capture and storage (BECCS) technologies 74 . Integrative approaches, such as the one presented here, support the calls for assessing the trade-offs in alternative agricultural pathways and can ultimately help us to meet production goals while maintaining our vital life-support systems.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As the global population increases (9.1 billion by 2050), so will the demand for protein-rich foods (Henry et al, 2018); and this will negatively impact the environment. Supplying animal-based proteins in the future will be very difficult, necessitating the transition to a diet less dependent on animal protein (Fellows, van Huis, & Vantomme, 2014).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Recent estimates suggest that croplands occupy almost 1.9 billion hectares globally [15], which is around 14% of the total ice-free land area. Furthermore, the area of cropland is projected to continue to expand [16,17], especially in biodiverse tropical regions [18][19][20], to meet the demands for food, bioenergy and other bio-products of an increasing world population [21]. To guard against major and potentially irreversible earth system change, nine planetary boundaries have been proposed, including a boundary for the global extent of croplands at 15% of the ice-free land surface [22,23].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%