Food and Agricultural Transportation Challenges Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic

Walters, Lurleen M.; Wade, Tara; Suttles, Shellye

doi:10.22004/ag.econ.305280

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…The experience of the pandemic and the time after the lockdown clearly demonstrated the limited resilience of many sectors in the economy (Stephens et al, 2020). The restrictions also determined the supply and demand situation on the agri-food market and put pressure on prices throughout the food supply chain (FAO, n.d.;Laborde et al, 2020;Walters et al, 2020). In this context, an important question is to what extent the pandemic crisis has affected the functioning of agriculture, the conditions for agricultural production and the financial status of those involved in food manufacturing.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Kondycja Ekonomiczno-Finansowa Gospodarstw Rolnych W Polsce I Czechach W Warunkach Pandemii Covid-19

Stępień,

Smędzik-Ambroży,

Svobodová

et al. 2024

Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej / Problems of Agricultural Economi

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Kondycja Ekonomiczno-Finansowa Gospodarstw Rolnych W Polsce I Czechach W Warunkach Pandemii Covid-19

Stępień,

Smędzik-Ambroży,

Svobodová

et al. 2024

Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej / Problems of Agricultural Economi

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“…стали серьезными потрясениями для существующих систем производства и распределения агропродовольственных товаров. В ряде исследований авторы выделяют такие возникшие, например, в связи с пандемией проблемы, как срывы в цепочках поставок сельскохозяйственной продукции [1], нарушения в транспортных се-тях и банкротство многих поставщиков продуктов питания [2], рост прогулов в компаниях пищевой промышленности [3]. Зерновой кризис был связан с сокращением сельскохозяйственного производства в Украине, введением рядом стран ограничений на экспорт продовольствия.…”

Section: постановка проблемы (Introduction)unclassified

Factor analysis of the volatility of agricultural production in the Russian Federation as an indicator of the economic crisis

Terekhov,

Ovcharov,

Nazarova

2024

Agrarian Bulletin of The

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Relevance. The great potential for the development of the agricultural industry in the Russian Federation necessitates the study of factors influencing it. In the current crisis conditions of economic development, this direction will help identify the causes of the development of agricultural crises, make timely management decisions related to minimizing the consequences of their negative impact and rapid economic recovery. The purpose of the study is to analyze the factors of agricultural activity that can reflect the impact of instability and economic crises on the development of the agricultural sector. Methods. The methods of normalized sliding standard deviation, a model of multiple linear regression, a forecasting method based on the ARIMA model, and the Granger causality test were used. Scientific novelty. For the first time in Russian practice, the volatility of agricultural indicators was assessed, the links between these indicators and shocks in financial markets were revealed. Results. A statistical relationship between the volume of agricultural production and instability factors has been modeled, showing that 87.5 % of the variation in agricultural production can be explained by variations in variables – water, labor. The causality test showed that instability in the agricultural sector is the reason for the volatility of the RTS index, the index of industrial production. The growth of agricultural production is predicted for all three forecasting scenarios. The most likely (optimal) scenario showed an increase in production volumes to 9806,9 billion rubles by the end of 2023, to 10 707,1 billion rubles by the end of 2024 and to 11 605,1 billion rubles by the end of 2025. It is concluded that financial shocks cause an increase in volatility in agricultural markets.

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Food and Agricultural Transportation Challenges Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

Kondycja Ekonomiczno-Finansowa Gospodarstw Rolnych W Polsce I Czechach W Warunkach Pandemii Covid-19

Kondycja Ekonomiczno-Finansowa Gospodarstw Rolnych W Polsce I Czechach W Warunkach Pandemii Covid-19

Factor analysis of the volatility of agricultural production in the Russian Federation as an indicator of the economic crisis

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