2004
DOI: 10.3386/w10327
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Flight to Quality, Flight to Liquidity, and the Pricing of Risk

Abstract: We propose a dynamic equilibrium model of a multi-asset market with stochastic volatility and transaction costs. Our key assumption is that investors are fund managers, subject to withdrawals when fund performance falls below a threshold. This generates a preference for liquidity that is timevarying and increasing with volatility. We show that during volatile times, assets' liquidity premia increase, investors become more risk averse, assets become more negatively correlated with volatility, assets' pairwise c… Show more

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Cited by 408 publications
(297 citation statements)
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References 48 publications
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“…On the other hand, poor short-term performance (Sharp index), mid-term performance (buy-hold returns), and long-term performance (Jensen  ) are determinants on liquidations. This conclusion is similar with those proposed by Lunde et al (1999), Horst et al (2001), andVayanos (2004). Fund flows and fund size are significant in predicting the likelihood of the within-family merge and liquidation, but it is not a determinant and effect for a cross-family merge fund.…”
Section: Multinomial Logit Modelsupporting
confidence: 78%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…On the other hand, poor short-term performance (Sharp index), mid-term performance (buy-hold returns), and long-term performance (Jensen  ) are determinants on liquidations. This conclusion is similar with those proposed by Lunde et al (1999), Horst et al (2001), andVayanos (2004). Fund flows and fund size are significant in predicting the likelihood of the within-family merge and liquidation, but it is not a determinant and effect for a cross-family merge fund.…”
Section: Multinomial Logit Modelsupporting
confidence: 78%
“…Funds with high returns were less likely to be terminated (Cameron and Hall, 2003). Liquidation can occur after poor performance and or for random reasons (Vayanos, 2004). When a fund family member is performing poorly, it may also likely to be sold to other fund families to reduce the relevant costs spent on research projects and marketing.…”
Section: Fund Performancementioning
confidence: 99%
“…This can help explain why the return premium on illiquid stocks, estimated in empirical studies, is so large relative to expected per-period transaction costs. Vayanos (2004) considers a model in which investors' risk of needing to liquidate is time varying and shows that the liquidity premium -that is, the return compensation for illiquidity -is also time varying. Indeed, when investors have a high likelihood of needing to sell, the liquidity premium is high.…”
Section: Uncertain Trading Horizons and Liquidity Riskmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Vayanos (2004) argues that investors attach a higher value to liquidity when markets are volatile. Ericsson and Renault (2006) motivate and document a positive correlation between credit risk and liquidity premiums for corporate bonds.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%