Flash Flood Risk and the Paradox of Urban Development

Cutter, Susan L.; Emrich, Christopher T.; Gall, Melanie; Reeves, Rachel

doi:10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000268

Cited by 67 publications

(39 citation statements)

References 32 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…70 Finally, a spatially explicit forensic analysis of the evolution of urban flood risk illustrates the differential power of antecedent decisions in altering the natural and social landscapes of places, which in turn heighten the risk and its social impact. 71 Another recent line of inquiry stems from hydrology research, in which simplified dynamic system models are used to study the interactions between hydrological systems and human responses. Di Baldassarre et al 72 and subsequent studies 73 model flood risk as a dynamic function of flood events, collective memory, and societal decisions on resettlement or investment in flood protection.…”

Section: Advances In Risk Assessment and Behavioral Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment

et al. 2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The behavior of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern, and demonstrate that although initial efforts have inevitably represented human behavior in limited terms, innovations in flood-risk assessment that integrate societal behavior and behavioral adaptation dynamics into such quantifications may lead to more accurate characterization of risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of riskmanagement strategies and investments. Such multidisciplinary approaches can inform flood-risk management policy development.

show abstract

Section: Advances In Risk Assessment and Behavioral Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment

et al. 2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Climate change is expected to increase extreme rainfalls and heavy river discharge, which will in turn exacerbate the likelihood of frequent flash floods with amplified severity [4][5][6] . There is an extensive body of research on the effects of development and construction in riverine floodplains, whereas less attention has been given to flash flooding and its impacts 7,8 .…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

A Place-based Assessment of Flash Flood Hazard and Vulnerability in the Contiguous United States

Khajehei

Ahmadalipour

Shao

et al. 2020

Sci Rep

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Flash flood is among the most catastrophic natural hazards which causes disruption in the environment and societies. Flash flood is mainly initiated by intense rainfall, and due to its rapid onset (within six hours of rainfall), taking action for effective response is challenging. Building resilience to flash floods require understanding of the socio-economic characteristics of the societies and their vulnerability to these extreme events. This study provides a comprehensive assessment of socio-economic vulnerability to flash floods and investigates the main characteristics of flash flood hazard, i.e. frequency, duration, severity, and magnitude. A socio-economic vulnerability index is developed at the county level across the Contiguous United States (CONUS). For this purpose, an ensemble of social and economic variables from the US Census and the Bureau of Economic Analysis were analyzed. Then, the coincidence of socioeconomic vulnerability and flash flood hazard were investigated to identify the critical and non-critical regions. Results show that the southwest U.S. experienced severe flash flooding with high magnitude, whereas the Northern Great Plains experience lower severity and frequency. Critical counties (highvulnerable-hotspot) are mostly located in the southern and southwestern parts of the U.S. The majority of counties in the Northern Great Plains indicate a non-critical status.

show abstract

“…This result indicates that the coefficient is underestimated in the censored variables. When analyzing the trade-offs between development and safety, Burby [20] and Cutter et al [21] used the case analysis of one region. They indicated that the significant effects of the conflict between development and safety were analyzed in relation to the actual flood damage.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Second, future studies should investigate how risky developments were induced by ports in coastal cities, where climate change has a significant impact. A case study can explore how the local development paradox was increased [21]. Coastal city case studies should employ longer timeframes to find risk areas.…”

Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A large volume of literature has been devoted to assessing the relationship between urban development and flood damage [16][17][18][19]. However, scholars have concentrated only limited attention on urban development within the context of the paradox that arises when development takes precedence over safety in risk areas [20,21]. Whereas some studies have assessed urban development in risk areas [22,23], they may be irrelevant in describing current urban development in coastal cities.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

The Effect of Coastal City Development on Flood Damage in South Korea

Park

Paterson²,

Zigmund³

et al. 2020

Sustainability

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Flood damage continues to be an issue in coastal cities. Impervious areas that contribute to flood damage are increasing due to the continuous development of ports in cities. However, previous research has not explored development in port hinterlands and in the coastal flood risk areas of coastal cities. Therefore, this study analyzed the impact of coastal city development on flood damage in Korea. A panel Tobit analysis was conducted on 58 coastal cities between 2002 and 2018. The results revealed that a 1% increase in impervious surfaces and one coastal development permit would increase damage costs by 1.29% and 2%, respectively. The analysis revealed that the increasing development of coastal cities had a significant impact on flood damage. The findings suggest that land-use plans highlight a conflict between port development and safety. This article provides insight that can be used by policy makers to manage risk areas near ports.

show abstract

Flash Flood Risk and the Paradox of Urban Development

Cited by 67 publications

References 32 publications

Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment

Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment

A Place-based Assessment of Flash Flood Hazard and Vulnerability in the Contiguous United States

The Effect of Coastal City Development on Flood Damage in South Korea

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About