2015
DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2015.994240
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Fish to 2030: The Role and Opportunity for Aquaculture

Abstract: & Seafood sector can contribute to the global food supply in an important way, and provide an important source of animal protein. Based on observed regional trends in seafood production and consumption and using a global, partial-equilibrium, multi-market model, this study investigates what the global seafood market may look like in 2030. The model projects that the total fish supply will increase from 154 million tons in 2011 to 186 million tons in 2030, with aquaculture entirely responsible for the increase.… Show more

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Cited by 332 publications
(192 citation statements)
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“…Seafood is a critical component of our diets, comprising one-sixth of global animal source food consumption (FAO, 2014). With rapid human population growth, looming food insecurity (Godfray et al, 2010), and declining marine and freshwater fish stocks affecting food and nutrition security (Golden et al, 2016;McIntyre et al, 2016), aquaculture is a potential solution for cheaply and easily providing animal source foods to poor and food-insecure populations around the world (Kobayashi et al, 2015).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Seafood is a critical component of our diets, comprising one-sixth of global animal source food consumption (FAO, 2014). With rapid human population growth, looming food insecurity (Godfray et al, 2010), and declining marine and freshwater fish stocks affecting food and nutrition security (Golden et al, 2016;McIntyre et al, 2016), aquaculture is a potential solution for cheaply and easily providing animal source foods to poor and food-insecure populations around the world (Kobayashi et al, 2015).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As the world's leading consumer of food fish-up to 38% of global food fish by 2030 according to one source (Kobayashi et al, 2015)-the Chinese market is of particular importance for marine resource governance. The amount of seafood consumed per capita in China has been rising steadily over the past several decades, especially since the early 1980s when China's economy began to boom: from less than 5 kg in 1980 to almost 35 kg today (FAOSTAT, 2016) 1 .…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There are several underlying causes of growth or stagnation across species and countries. Technological innovations, diseases, prices of production factors, fish market prices and market access are important determinants of profitability and growth (Anderson, 2002;Asche, 2008;Bostock et al, 2010;Guttormsen, Myrland, & Tveteras, 2011;Kobayashi et al, 2015;Kumar & Engle, 2016).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%