2014
DOI: 10.1016/j.biombioe.2014.05.006
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Feedstock loss from drought is a major economic risk for biofuel producers

Abstract: High cost of technology is seen as the primary barrier to full commercialization of cellulosic biofuels. There is broad expectation that once conversion technology breakthroughs occur, policy support is only needed to accelerate cost reductions through "learning by doing" effects. In this study, we show that droughts pose a significant economic risk to biofuel producers and consumers regardless of the rate at which technology costs fall. We model a future switchgrass derived cellulosic biorefinery industry in … Show more

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Cited by 22 publications
(12 citation statements)
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“…Appropriate management practices can reduce GHG emissions and accelerate soil C sequestration while maintaining profitable yields. Previous studies demonstrate, of all the management practices, soil phosphorus (P) and potassium (K) contents have little effect on switchgrass yield [14,15], while irrigation and N fertilizer management are essential for profitable yields and protecting environmental quality in arid and semi-arid areas [10,16]. However, large amounts of external N and irrigation water inputs with decreasing use efficiencies have contributed to environmental degradation and GHG emissions.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Appropriate management practices can reduce GHG emissions and accelerate soil C sequestration while maintaining profitable yields. Previous studies demonstrate, of all the management practices, soil phosphorus (P) and potassium (K) contents have little effect on switchgrass yield [14,15], while irrigation and N fertilizer management are essential for profitable yields and protecting environmental quality in arid and semi-arid areas [10,16]. However, large amounts of external N and irrigation water inputs with decreasing use efficiencies have contributed to environmental degradation and GHG emissions.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…High cost of technology is seen as the primary barrier to full commercialization of cellulosic biofuels. Morrow et al (2014) found that droughts reduced modeled biorefinery capacity factors, on average, by 47%, raising biofuel production costs by 35% between a modeled dry and wet year. For instance, perennial grasses have several environmental benefits: they reduce erosion processes, improve soil structure, increase organic matter and reduce pollution because they need less pesticides and fertilizers compared to annual cultivars.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The increases in extreme weather will necessarily impact the biomass supply for the biorefining industry, causing reductions in yields of agricultural crops and increases in the price of crops and biofuels (Langholtz et al, 2014). In modeled scenarios, biofuel production costs increased 35% from a wet year compared to a dry year (Morrow et al, 2014), demonstrating the significant economic risk from drought. In addition, proposed risk mitigation strategies, such as sourcing material from a larger area or storing biomass from non-drought years, showed little impact on reducing risk associated with drought conditions (Morrow et al, 2014).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In modeled scenarios, biofuel production costs increased 35% from a wet year compared to a dry year (Morrow et al, 2014), demonstrating the significant economic risk from drought. In addition, proposed risk mitigation strategies, such as sourcing material from a larger area or storing biomass from non-drought years, showed little impact on reducing risk associated with drought conditions (Morrow et al, 2014).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%