Previous reports indicate that the decreased left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LVGLS) seen in the early postoperative period of pediatric heart transplant patients generally recovers over the course of 1-2 years. In this study, we investigate the predictive capacity of preoperative parameters on the LVGLS decline seen at 1 month post transplant. Forty-six transplant subjects with 2D echocardiographic images sufficient for speckle tracking echocardiography were enrolled. We excluded patients diagnosed with cardiac allograft vasculopathy or with an episode of rejection 1 month before or after their echocardiographic examinations. The mean LVGLS was significantly reduced at 1 month when compared to 1 year following transplant (− 15.5% vs. − 19.4%, respectively, p < 0.001). The predictors of LVGLS that decline at 1 month were the LV mass z-score [odds ratio (OR) 1.452; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.007-2.095, p = 0.046], recipient age (OR 1.124; 95% CI 1.015-1.245, p = 0.025), and donor age (OR 1.081; 95% CI 1.028-1.136, p = 0.002) in the univariate logistic regression analyses. Although multivariate analysis yielded no significant predictors, higher LV mass z-scores showed a trend associated with the decline of LVGLS (p = 0.087). The donor/recipient weight ratio was associated with the LV mass z-score (R 2 = 0.412, p < 0.001).