Objective
To estimate risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) for first-degree relatives of CRC cases based on CRC molecular subtypes and tumor pathology features.
Design
We studied a cohort of 33,496 first-degree relatives of 4,853 incident invasive CRC cases (probands) who were recruited to the Colon Cancer Family Registry through population cancer registries in the US, Canada, and Australia. We categorized the first-degree relatives into four groups: 28,156 of 4,095 mismatch repair (MMR)-proficient probands, 2,302 of 301 MMR-deficient non-Lynch syndrome probands, 1,799 of 271 suspected Lynch syndrome probands, and 1,239 of 186 Lynch syndrome probands. We compared CRC risk for first-degree relatives stratified by the absence or presence of specific tumor molecular pathology features in probands across each of these four groups and for all groups combined.
Results
Compared with first-degree relatives of MMR-proficient CRC cases, a higher risk of CRC was estimated for first-degree relatives of CRC cases with suspected Lynch syndrome (hazard ratio [HR] 2.06, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.59-2.67), and with Lynch syndrome (HR 5.37, 95% CI 4.16-6.94), but not with MMR-deficient non-Lynch syndrome (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.82-1.31). A greater risk of CRC was estimated for first-degree relatives if CRC cases were diagnosed before age 50 years, had proximal colon cancer or if their tumors had any of the following: expanding tumor margin, peritumoral lymphocytes, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, or synchronous CRC.
Conclusion
Molecular pathology features are potentially useful to refine screening recommendations for first-degree relatives of CRC cases, and to identify which cases are more likely to be caused by genetic or other familial factors.