Factors for diffusion of autonomous vehicles technology: text mining of online news

Silva, João Paulo Nascimento da; Paulo, Denis Henrique de; Júnior, e Oliveira Lima; Grützmann, André; Antunes, Luiz Guilherme Rodrigues; Pedrosa, Gabriel; Oliveira, Cledison Carlos; Sugano, Joel Yutaka

doi:10.1504/ijatm.2022.126828

Cited by 1 publication

(4 citation statements)

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“…The BRICS investments in technological innovation may positively change their economic development with impacts on CO 2 emissions (Santana et al , 2015b). When a positive technological innovation impact occurs, it expands potential technological diffusion in these markets (Kassens-Noor et al , 2021; Silva et al , 2022).…”

Section: Theoretical Background and Research Assumption Developmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…EVs could provide an average reduction of 44.28% for the G7 and 54.03% for the BRICS; AVs could provide an average reduction of 35.07% for the G7 and 49.09% for the BRICS; and eVTOLs could provide an average reduction of 67.59% for the G7 and 66.54% for the BRICS. Corroborating (Kassens-Noor et al , 2021; Silva et al , 2022), these criteria are a driving force for the diffusion of EV technologies, but other criteria may be considered for AVs and eVTOLs. As pointed out by Mello et al (2021) and Wang and Zheng (2022) and reinforced in this study, it is also possible to infer that disruptive innovation leapfrogging for EVs, AVs and eVTOLs technologies could change the pattern set by current technologies, boosting the emerging BRICS economies, making them more globally competitive.…”

Section: Scenario Development Based On Data Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, AVs tend to offer Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) (Hensher, 2017), leaving recharge to mobility providers. Unlike the ownership for EV diffusion, the AV scenarios for MaaS consider vehicle sharing (Merfeld et al , 2019; Silva et al , 2022). Since eVTOLs' electric batteries would be the same as EVs and AVs, fuel consumption, emissions and safety savings could be equal or greater (Booz Allen Hamilton, 2018; Uber Elevate, 2016).…”

Section: Scenario Development Based On Data Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The new transportation technologies demand investments with distinct return timeframes. Depending on technological conditions, user acceptance and legislation, costs could be lowered, leading to demand growth (Booz Allen Hamilton, 2018; Silva et al , 2022). To endorse A4 , the results corroborate with the literature where the potentially disruptive innovation technologies such as EVs, AVs and eVTOLs can introduce new transport possibilities (Cohen et al , 2021; Skeete, 2018), triggering a great change in the automotive industry and the transportation mobility market (Skeete, 2018), leading to a growth in the sector (Christensen et al , 2001; Silva and Grützmann, 2022).…”

Section: Scenario Development Based On Data Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

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The effects of technological leapfrogging in transportation technologies in BRICS and G7 countries

Silva

Oliveira

Pedrosa

et al. 2023

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Purpose This paper aims to analyse the technological, economic and environmental impacts of disruptive innovations in the transportation mobility market. Design/methodology/approach The paper gathered data from World Bank and 13 open sources in an exploratory, descriptive and applied investigation on potentially disruptive transport innovations outcomes in G7 and BRICS (Brazil, Russian Federation, India, China and South Africa) economies, businesses and societies. Findings The results suggest positive implications for technological leapfrogging of electric vehicles (EV), autonomous vehicles (AVs) and electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOLs), such as gains in energy consumption, infrastructure improvement, greenhouse gas emissions reduction, economic growth and the opportunity for new disruptive technologies to improve or even revolutionize the transportation ecosystem. Research limitations/implications This study has clear limitations as it compares G7 and BRICS hypothetical scenarios where internal combustion vehicles were replaced by new technologies, ceteris paribus. Even so, as theoretical implications, the study presents market scenarios for EVs, AVs and eVTOLs technologies, bringing benefits to the disruptive innovation theory by expanding the understanding of the subject and also opening avenues of investigation by exploring new technological, economic and environmental possibilities. Practical implications This study emphasises potentially disruptive technologies’ technological, economic and sustainable benefits to countries through technological leapfrogging. The organizations can delve into results to investigate forthcoming markets and seek advantageous positions. Economic and social gains from leapfrogging could motivate government bodies to finance research focusing on EVs, AVs and eVTOLs diffusion. Originality/value The paper’s originality resides in aggregating multiple data sources to compare technological leapfrogging in G7 and BRICS transportation. The different views allowed for exploring the potential outcomes of EVs, AVs and eVTOLs on economic, sustainability and market dimensions in developed and developing countries.

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Section: Theoretical Background and Research Assumption Developmentmentioning

confidence: 99%