Factors driving oil price —— from the perspective of United States

Su, Chi‐Wei; Qin, Meng; Tao, Ran; Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia; Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona

doi:10.1016/j.energy.2020.117219

Cited by 81 publications

(26 citation statements)

References 42 publications

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“…In general, the U.S. energy strategy plays a vital role in the oil market, especially in energy conflicts and in the formation of dollar values. Understanding the effect of different energy strategies, which can be evaluated using the proposed methodological approach, countries will be able to draw energy policies and stabilize the oil market [42], and investors will be able to adjust their investment decisions and diversify their assets.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Energy War Strategies: The 21st Century Experience

et al. 2020

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The purpose of this study was to identify the potential initiators of energy wars and determine their boundaries of influence through the prism of energy dependency. The study also evaluated the impact of energy resources on the economic development of 48 countries. The development priorities of those countries were substantiated through establishing the linkage between energy intensity and indicators reflecting the impact of energy resources on economic development. The study offered an energy dependence matrix, which shows which market players can actively participate in energy wars. Using data from the matrix and integrative analysis of energy dependence indicators, the energy dependence forecast was made. The forecast presents optimistic, realistic, and pessimistic scenarios for the short-term (up to 2025) and long-term (up to 2030) impacts of energy wars. The study proposes a novel approach to assessing the impact of energy wars, which implies that the consequences of energy-induced conflict should be evaluated based on forecasted and threshold values. The major threat to the global energy market was found to be political instability in energy-rich countries. The proposed methodological approach is suitable for all groups of countries and allows preventing negative consequences of energy wars through minimizing the level of energy dependence.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Energy War Strategies: The 21st Century Experience

et al. 2020

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“…Pan et al ( 64 ) and Lim et al ( 65 ) chose the incidence of cancer as a measure of health. In this paper, real GDP per capita (GDP) is used to measure the growth of the business cycle in each country and as a threshold variable ( 66 – 68 ). In general, an increase in real GDP per capita greatly increases consumption levels and expands government spending, and a large number of empirical studies have demonstrated that real GDP per capita has a positive effect on population health ( 5 – 7 ).…”

Section: Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Does Economic Overheating Provide Positive Feedback on Population Health? Evidence From BRICS and ASEAN Countries

Huang

Tao

et al. 2021

Front. Public Health

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This paper explores the relationship of real GDP per capita with cancer incidence applying panel threshold regression model in BRICS and ASEAN countries. The empirical results highlight that the business cycle has an inverted-U correlation with population health indicators and a non-linear single threshold effect. In BRICS countries, the health-promoting effect of economic growth is significantly weaker when exceeding the threshold. Similarly, economic growth in ASEAN countries, even worsens population health, after the turning point. These asymmetric effects are strongly related to the response of regional economic globalization health policies. Changes in economic expansion and overheating may have serious adverse effects on health care systems in emerging economies. Governments should adopt more aggressive health care policies during economic overheating, to avoid wasting health care resources.

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“…One of the assumptions for the Granger full-sample causality tests is that the parameters of the VAR model are constant. This assumption may be wrong if structural changes are shown in the underlying full-sample time series (Balcilar and Ozdemir, 2013;Su et al, 2020). Thus, this study tested the stability of short-term parameters by using the Sup-F, Mean-F, and Exp-F tests developed by Andrews (1993).…”

Section: Parameter Stability Testmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does bilateral political relations affect foreign direct investment?

Song

Chen

Tao

et al. 2020

Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja

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This article employs the bootstrap Granger full-sample and subsample rolling window estimation to explore the time-varying property between bilateral political relations and foreign direct investment based on Sino-Japanese relations. The result identifies a one-way causal nexus running from bilateral political relations to foreign direct investment. Bilateral political relations have both positive and negative influences on foreign direct investment inflows in different sub-stages, but merely negative impacts on outflows. However, the reverse causality has not been proven, which is inconsistent with the model of Polachek et al. that the increased foreign direct investment is conducive to improving bilateral political relations. We also divide the BPR into two dimensions: leader's visits and diplomatic conflicts to examine the role of specific political actions. Leader's visits can significantly increase FDI inflows and outflows, but diplomatic conflicts have less impact on FDI. China and Japan should increase dialogue to ensure bilateral relations' stability and seek common ground in economic interests, ultimately providing investors with a favorable political environment.

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Factors driving oil price —— from the perspective of United States

Cited by 81 publications

References 42 publications

Energy War Strategies: The 21st Century Experience

Energy War Strategies: The 21st Century Experience

Does Economic Overheating Provide Positive Feedback on Population Health? Evidence From BRICS and ASEAN Countries

Does bilateral political relations affect foreign direct investment?

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