A "congruence" model based on self theory is proposed to account for adult education participation and dropout. Single variable explanations for these phenomena are rejected. It is contended that participation may be understood as a function of self/institution incongruence and dropout a function of intra-self and self/other incongruence. It is suggested that social, psychological and institutional variables typically studied in participation and dropout research merely mediate the congruence-dropout relationship. Data derived from 2436 participants enrolled in continuing non-credit classes in New Zealand are offered in support of parts of the model. The model is experimentally and administratively suggestive and replete with hypotheses capable of empirical investigation.
STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEMThe absence of testable theory has crippled adult education participation and dropout research for decades. Mezirow (27) states that &dquo;there are few [more] pervasively debilitating influences in the ... field than the absence of a body of practically useful theory upon which priorities ... can be predicated.&dquo; It is not surprising that people interested in attracting non-participant segments of the general population or allaying dropout have difficulty translating research findings into administrative action. Unless there is some framework in which to order goals and understand processes, progress is ad hoc. Participation research has been characterised by social surveys showing its relationship to discrete social variables. Although of interest, these surveys (4, 16, 20) attempt to foist single variables explanations on a phenomenon which clearly has multi-variate origins.Dropout, although described as the &dquo;old story&dquo; in adult education, has also not been tackled with tools sharpened by sound theory. Again, single variable studies have generally failed to explain or predict what is a multi-variate phenomenon. Ulmer & Verner's (37) observation that research is &dquo;scant and inconclusive as it has not been approached on the basis of a sound theoretical base ... conducive to the orderly ROGER BOSHIER is Lecturer in Psychology at