Extreme weather exposure and support for climate change adaptation

Ray, Aaron; Hughes, Llewelyn; Konisky, David M.; Kaylor, Charles H.

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.07.002

Cited by 76 publications

(51 citation statements)

References 47 publications

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“…This finding is echoed by several other studies [17,71,72]. Yet, a few other studies do find that indices of extreme weather events predict climate opinion, such as a study of US Gulf Coast counties [67], a national US study using natural hazard fatalities [70], and a national US study using the number of extreme weather events by region [22,23].…”

Section: The Effect Of Objective Non-temperature Experiences On Climamentioning

confidence: 92%

“…[6]), self efficacy, mitigation or adaptation policy preferences (e.g. [23,62]), and intended behaviors. We identified no studies that measured actual behavioral changes.…”

Section: Heterogeneous Measurement and Conceptualization Of Dependentmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…As we show, despite extensive research efforts, the relationship between weather and climate opinions still remains unclear. Several recent studies point to an association between elevated temperatures [5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19] or extreme weather events [20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27] with greater climate change concern, belief that human-caused climate change is happening, or support for climate policies. Other studies, however, do not support such a relationship [28][29][30][31][32][33][34].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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How will climate change shape climate opinion?

Howe

Marlon

Mildenberger

et al. 2019

Environ. Res. Lett.

177

129

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As climate change intensifies, global publics will experience more unusual weather and extreme weather events. How will individual experiences with these weather trends shape climate change beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors? In this article, we review 73 papers that have studied the relationship between climate change experiences and public opinion. Overall, we find mixed evidence that weather shapes climate opinions. Although there is some support for a weak effect of local temperature and extreme weather events on climate opinion, the heterogeneity of independent variables, dependent variables, study populations, and research designs complicate systematic comparison. To advance research on this critical topic, we suggest that future studies pay careful attention to differences between self-reported and objective weather data, causal identification, and the presence of spatial autocorrelation in weather and climate data. Refining research designs and methods in future studies will help us understand the discrepancies in results, and allow better detection of effects, which have important practical implications for climate communication. As the global population increasingly experiences weather conditions outside the range of historical experience, researchers, communicators, and policymakers need to understand how these experiences shape-and are shaped by-public opinions and behaviors.

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Section: The Effect Of Objective Non-temperature Experiences On Climamentioning

confidence: 92%

“…[6]), self efficacy, mitigation or adaptation policy preferences (e.g. [23,62]), and intended behaviors. We identified no studies that measured actual behavioral changes.…”

Section: Heterogeneous Measurement and Conceptualization Of Dependentmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

How will climate change shape climate opinion?

Howe

Marlon

Mildenberger

et al. 2019

Environ. Res. Lett.

177

129

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Researchers have developed several kinds of approaches to understand and address climate change adaptation barriers including semistructured surveys, meta‐analyses, and multiphase frameworks (Aguiar et al., ; Aronsson & Schöb, ; Enríquez‐de‐Salamanca et al., ; Hurlimann, Browne, Warren‐Myers, & Francis, ; Khanal, Wilson, Hoang, & Lee, ; Moser, Ekstrom, & Kasperson, ; Ng & Ren, ; Ray, Hughes, Konisky, & Kaylor, ). Of these, Moser et al.’s () three‐phase framework provides a roadmap to assess key socioecological factors.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Overcoming climate change adaptation barriers: A study on food–energy–water impacts of the average American diet by demographic group

Bozeman

Theis

2019

J of Industrial Ecology

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Effectively adapting to climate change involves overcoming social and ecological system barriers.The present study uses a three-phase adaptation framework to propose adaptation strategies aimed at overcoming socioecological barriers of the food-energy-water (FEW) nexus. Cradleto-farm-gate land, greenhouse gas (GHG), and water impacts-that derive from food consumption in the United States-are analyzed and differentiated by major demographic groups (Black, Latinx, and White). Results indicate that the White demographic yields the highest per capita GHG (680 kg of CO 2 eq⋅year −1 ) and water impacts (328,600 L⋅year −1 ) from food consumption, whereas the Black demographic yields the highest per capita land impacts (1,770 m 2 ⋅year −1 ) from food consumption. Our findings suggest that obtaining data with the intention of building consensus across sociodemographic lines overcomes barriers in the understanding phase, leading to increased social receptivity for many planning and managing phase processes. Specifically, we find that identifying and developing leaders who possess the cognitive and interpersonal capacity to manage many variables and stakeholders is key to assessing and selecting adaptation options in the planning phase. We also propose using government programming to encourage environmentally friendly food purchasing behavior. Then, we discuss how our proposals could be used in adaptation feasibility and evaluation activities in the managing phase. In all, these findings facilitate the development of improved climate change adaptation and policy by satisfying the understanding phase of the climate change adaptation framework, establishing a cross-disciplinary methodological approach to addressing socioecological problems, and providing useful FEW impact data for FEW nexus and climate change researchers.

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“…Researchers say that teasing out the role of human-induced global warming -as opposed to natural fluctuations -in individual weather extremes will help city planners, engineers and home-owners to understand which kinds of floods, droughts and other weather calamities are increasing in risk. And surveys suggest that people are more likely to support policies focused on adapting to climate-change impacts when they have just experienced extreme weather, so quickly verifying a connection between a regional event and climate change, or ruling it out, could be particularly effective 3 .…”

Section: Attribution 101mentioning

confidence: 99%

Droughts, heatwaves and floods: How to tell when climate change is to blame

Schiermeier¹

2018

Nature

108

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T he Northern Hemisphere is sweating through another unusually hot summer. Japan has declared its record temperatures a natural disaster. Europe is baking under prolonged heat, with destructive wildfires in Greece and, unusually, the Arctic. And drought-fuelled wildfires are spreading in the western United States. For Friederike Otto, a climate modeller at the University of Oxford, UK, the past week has been a frenzy, as journalists clamoured for her views on climate change's role in the summer heat. "It's been mad, " she says. The usual scientific response is that severe heatwaves will become more frequent because of global warming. But Otto and her colleagues wanted to answer a more particular question: how had climate change influenced this specific heatwave? After three days' work with computer models, they announced on 27 July that their preliminary analysis for northern Europe suggests that climate change made the heatwave more than twice as likely to occur in many places. Soon, journalists might be able to get this kind of quick-fire analysis routinely from weather agencies, rather than on an ad hoc basis from academics. With Otto's help, Germany's national weather agency is preparing to be the first in the world to offer rapid assessments of global warming's connection to particular meteorological events. By 2019 or 2020, the agency hopes to post its findings on social media almost instantly, with full public reports following one or two weeks after an event. "We want to quantify the influence of climate change on any atmospheric conditions that might bring extreme weather to Germany or central Europe, " says Paul Becker, vice-president of the weather agency, which is based in Offenbach. "The science is ripe to start doing it". The European Union is interested too. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in Reading, UK, is preparing to pilot a similar programme by 2020 that will seek to attribute Climate as culprit Weather forecasters will soon provide instant assessments of global warming's influence on heatwaves and floods.

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Extreme weather exposure and support for climate change adaptation

Cited by 76 publications

References 47 publications

How will climate change shape climate opinion?

How will climate change shape climate opinion?

Overcoming climate change adaptation barriers: A study on food–energy–water impacts of the average American diet by demographic group

Droughts, heatwaves and floods: How to tell when climate change is to blame

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